Current predictive models for patients undergoing coronary angiography have complex parameters which limit their clinical application. Coronary catheterization reports that describe coronary lesions and the corresponding interventions provide information of the severity of the coronary artery disease and the completeness of the revascularization. This information is relevant for predicting patient prognosis. However, no predictive model has been constructed using the text content from coronary catheterization reports before.
To develop a deep learning model using text content from coronary catheterization reports to predict 5-year all-cause mortality and 5-year cardiovascular mortality for patients undergoing coronary angiography and to compare the performance of the model to the established clinical scores.
This retrospective cohort study was conducted between January 1, 2006, and December 31, 2015. Patients admitted for coronary angiography were enrolled and followed up until August 2019. The main outcomes were 5-year all-cause mortality and 5-year cardiovascular mortality. In total, 11,576 coronary catheterization reports were collected. BioBERT (bidirectional encoder representations from transformers for biomedical text mining), which is a BERT-based model in the biomedical domain, was utilized to construct the model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to assess model performance. We also compared our results to the residual SYNTAX (SYNergy between PCI with TAXUS and Cardiac Surgery) score.
The dataset was divided into the training (60%), validation (20%), and test (20%) sets. The mean age of the patients in each dataset was 65.5 ± 12.1, 65.4 ± 11.2, and 65.6 ± 11.2 years, respectively. A total of 1,411 (12.2%) patients died, and 664 (5.8%) patients died of cardiovascular causes within 5 years after coronary angiography. The best of our models had an AUC of 0.822 (95% CI, 0.790–0.855) for 5-year all-cause mortality, and an AUC of 0.858 (95% CI, 0.816–0.900) for 5-year cardiovascular mortality. We randomly selected 300 patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), and our model outperformed the residual SYNTAX score in predicting 5-year all-cause mortality (AUC, 0.867 [95% CI, 0.813–0.921] vs. 0.590 [95% CI, 0.503–0.684]) and 5-year cardiovascular mortality (AUC, 0.880 [95% CI, 0.873–0.925] vs. 0.649 [95% CI, 0.535–0.764]), respectively, after PCI among these patients.
We developed a predictive model using text content from coronary catheterization reports to predict the 5-year mortality in patients undergoing coronary angiography. Since interventional cardiologists routinely write reports after procedures, our model can be easily implemented into the clinical setting.