Multi-messenger astrophysics of black holes and neutron stars as probed by ground-based gravitational wave detectors: from present to future

Corsi, Alessandra; Barsotti, Lisa; Berti, Emanuele; Evans, Matthew; Gupta, Ish; Kritos, Konstantinos; Kuns, Kevin; Nitz, Alexander H.; Owen, Benjamin J.; Rajbhandari, Binod; Read, Jocelyn; Sathyaprakash, Bangalore S.; Shoemaker, David H.; Smith, Joshua R.; Vitale, Salvatore

doi:10.3389/fspas.2024.1386748

REVIEW article

Front. Astron. Space Sci., 23 May 2024

Sec. Cosmology

Volume 11 - 2024 | https://doi.org/10.3389/fspas.2024.1386748

This article is part of the Research Topic The Dynamic Universe: Realizing the Potential of Time Domain and Multimessenger Astrophysics View all 13 articles

Multi-messenger astrophysics of black holes and neutron stars as probed by ground-based gravitational wave detectors: from present to future

Alessandra Corsi¹*

Lisa Barsotti²

Emanuele Berti³

Matthew Evans²

Ish Gupta⁴

Konstantinos Kritos³

Kevin Kuns²

Alexander H. Nitz⁵

Benjamin J. Owen¹

Binod Rajbhandari⁶

Jocelyn Read⁷

Bangalore S. Sathyaprakash⁴

David H. Shoemaker²

Joshua R. Smith⁷

Salvatore Vitale²

¹Department of Physics and Astronomy, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX, United States
²LIGO Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States
³Department of Physics and Astronomy, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States
⁴Department of Physics, Institute for Gravitation and the Cosmos, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, United States
⁵Department of Physics, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY, United States
⁶School of Mathematical Sciences and Center for Computational Relativity and Gravitation, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rochester, NY, United States
⁷Nicholas and Lee Begovich Center for Gravitational Wave Physics and Astronomy, California State University Fullerton, Fullerton, CA, United States

The ground-based gravitational wave (GW) detectors LIGO and Virgo have enabled the birth of multi-messenger GW astronomy via the detection of GWs from merging stellar-mass black holes (BHs) and neutron stars (NSs). GW170817, the first binary NS merger detected in GWs and all bands of the electromagnetic spectrum, is an outstanding example of the impact that GW discoveries can have on multi-messenger astronomy. Yet, GW170817 is only one of the many and varied multi-messenger sources that can be unveiled using ground-based GW detectors. In this contribution, we summarize key open questions in the astrophysics of stellar-mass BHs and NSs that can be answered using current and future-generation ground-based GW detectors, and highlight the potential for new multi-messenger discoveries ahead.

1 Introduction

The discovery of the binary NS merger GW170817 during the second observing run (O2) of the LIGO (LIGO Scientific Collaboration et al., 2015) and Virgo (Acernese et al., 2015) GW detectors kicked off a new era in multi-messenger astrophysics (MMA; Figures 1, 2). In addition to marking the first direct detection of a GW chirp from a binary NS merger (Abbott et al., 2017c), GW170817 also represents the first astrophysical event to be observed with GWs and a completely independent messenger, namely, electromagnetic waves. Indeed, GW170817 was the first direct association of a NS-NS merger with a short gamma-ray burst (GRB), an IR-optical-UV kilonova, and an electromagnetic afterglow observed from radio to X-rays (see Abbott et al., 2017e, and references therein).

Figure 1

Figure 1. Figure reproduced from Abbott et al. (2017e). Timeline of the discovery of GW170817, its associated GRB 170817a, and its associated kilonova SSS17a/AT 2017gfo. The follow-up observations are shown by messenger and wavelength relative to the time of the GW event. The shaded dashes represent the times when information was reported in a GCN Circular. The names of the relevant instruments, facilities, or observing teams are collected at the beginning of the row. Representative observations in each band are shown as solid circles with their areas approximately scaled by brightness; the solid lines indicate when the source was detectable by at least one telescope. Magnification insets give a picture of the first detections in GWs, and in the gamma-ray, optical, X-ray, and radio bands.

Figure 2

Figure 2. Aerial views of the LIGO Hanford (left) and Livingston (center) observatories (credits: Caltech/MIT/LIGO Lab; LIGO Scientific Collaboration et al., 2015). We also show an artist’s impression of a Cosmic Explorer (CE) observatory (credits: Angela Nguyen, Virginia Kitchen, Eddie Anaya, California State University Fullerton; Evans et al., 2023).

The rich multi-messenger data collected for GW170817 (Figure 1), together with detailed modeling and simulations, have painted the most detailed picture yet of a binary NS merger, impacting a variety of fields beyond gravitational physics and including nuclear physics (e.g., Bauswein et al., 2017; Kasen et al., 2017; Margalit and Metzger, 2017; Annala et al., 2018; Radice et al., 2018b; Abbott et al., 2018c; Côté et al., 2018; De et al., 2018; Most et al., 2018; Rezzolla et al., 2018; Capano et al., 2020), relativistic astrophysics (e.g., Shibata et al., 2017; Lazzati et al., 2018; Ruiz et al., 2018; Lazzati et al., 2021), stellar evolution and population synthesis (e.g., Dominik et al., 2013; Kruckow et al., 2018; Vigna-Gómez et al., 2018), and cosmology (e.g., Abbott et al., 2017a; Baker et al., 2017; Creminelli and Vernizzi, 2017; Ezquiaga and Zumalacárregui, 2017; Sakstein and Jain, 2017; Chen et al., 2018).

As of today, the LIGO and Virgo detectors have reported highly-significant discoveries of $\sim 100$ compact binary coalescences (Abbott et al., 2023a). The detections are dominated by binary BH mergers. Two highly-significant NS-NS mergers (GW170817 and GW190425; Abbott et al., 2017c; 2020a) and a few BH-NS merger candidates have been identified (Abbott et al., 2021a), but GW170817 remains the only GW event with a secure electromagnetic counterpart association. While revolutionizing the field of GW-MMA, the discovery of GW170817 highlighted many open questions that remain to be answered. To this end, the LIGO and Virgo collaborations have developed plans for further improvements in sensitivity of these detectors that will fully exploit what is possible at these existing facilities (hereafter, post-O5 or A# era, Figure 3; Abbott et al., 2018a; Fritschel et al., 2023). Several new frontiers in MMA will also come on the horizon with these envisioned sensitivity upgrades for the LIGO detectors (which include an expanded network with LIGO India—hereafter LIGO Aundha—expected to be operational starting in the early 2030; Iyer et al., 2023). However, it is likely that the full discovery potential of MMA will be realized only with next-generation ground-based GW detectors such as Cosmic Explorer (hereafter, CE) and the Einstein Telescope (hereafter, ET), envisioned to become operational in the 2030s and requiring new facilities and longer interferometer arms (Figures 2, 3; Branchesi et al., 2023; Evans et al., 2023). Here, we review the major open questions in the field of MMA as enabled by ground-based GW detectors (Sections 2–3), and briefly discuss the short-to-long term potential of this field (Section 4).

Figure 3

Figure 3. Figure adapted from Evans et al. (2023). Measured sensitivity of LIGO in its second (O2) and third (O3) observing runs, and estimated sensitivities of LIGO A+ (also referred to as LIGO O5 sensitivity; Abbott et al., 2018a), LIGO A# (Fritschel et al., 2023), ET (Branchesi et al., 2023), and the 20 km and 40 km CE detectors (Evans et al., 2023). We note that by reconfiguring several smaller optics, the 20 km detector could be operated either in a broad-band mode (solid) or a kilohertz-focused mode (dotted).

We stress that, while this work highlights topics in MMA for which observations of GWs and light are critical, the field of MMA is broader and includes messengers such as cosmic rays and neutrinos (e.g., Particle Physics Project Prioritization Panel, 2023, and references therein). Here, we mention these other probes only briefly. We also stress that our discussion is centered on the science enabled by ground-based GW detectors operating in the few Hz to few kHz GW frequency regime. However, the GW spectrum is much broader, and fundamental contributions to its exploration are being provided by Pulsar Timing Arrays (Detweiler, 1979; Agazie et al., 2023; EPTA Collaboration et al., 2023; Reardon et al., 2023; Xu et al., 2023), and will be provided in the future by space-based instruments such as LISA (Amaro-Seoane et al., 2023) and DECIGO (Kawamura et al., 2011).

2 MMA of compact binary mergers: key open questions

2.1 Diversity of NS-NS/BH-NS mergers and r-process yields

GW170817 remains so far the only event seen in both GWs and electromagnetic emission. An associated GRB (170817A) was detected about 2 s after the merger by the Fermi/GBM and Integral satellites (Figure 1; Abbott et al., 2017b; Savchenko et al., 2017). About 11 h after the GW detection, an optical counterpart was identified by the Swope Supernova Team (Figure 1; Coulter et al., 2017). Via extensive multi-wavelength observations carried by several teams, this counterpart was recognized to be a kilonova—a quasi-thermal fast-fading transient associated with r-process nucleosynthesis occurring in the neutron-rich debris created by the merger itself (Chornock et al., 2017; Cowperthwaite et al., 2017; Drout et al., 2017; Evans et al., 2017; Kasliwal et al., 2017; Nicholl et al., 2017; Pian et al., 2017; Smartt et al., 2017; Soares-Santos et al., 2017; Tanvir et al., 2017; Valenti et al., 2017; Villar et al., 2017). The kilonova detection also enabled the arcsec localization of GW170817, and hence the identification of its host galaxy and measurement of its redshift (Hjorth et al., 2017; Im et al., 2017; Levan et al., 2017; Palmese et al., 2017; Pan et al., 2017). Located only $\approx 40$ Mpc away, GW170817 is the closest short GRB with known redshift identified as of today. As the radio-to-X-ray follow-up observations of the GW170817/GRB 170817A afterglow revealed, GW170817 also brought the first ever direct detection of a relativistic jet observed off-axis (Figure 1, JVLA and Chandra insets), and proved that relativistic jets are much more complex than typically assumed for cosmological short GRBs (for which the on-axis view prevents a detailed study of the jet structure; Alexander et al., 2017; Haggard et al., 2017; Hallinan et al., 2017; Margutti et al., 2017; Troja et al., 2017; Mooley et al., 2018b; Margutti et al., 2018; Mooley et al., 2018a).

As the sensitivity of the LIGO detectors continues to improve steadily compared to the O2 run (Figure 3), one of the biggest priorities in the field of MMA is the collection of a larger sample of GW170817-like multi-messenger detections: going from 1 to $\sim 10$ (nearby) events localized by GW detectors to less than 100 deg² by the post-O5/A# era is a must (Petrov et al., 2022; Abbott et al., 2018a, see also Section 4). Increasing the sample of nearby, extensively monitored events is key to answering some fundamental questions left open by GW170817 such as, are NS-NS mergers the only site or one of many sites of r-process nucleosynthesis; are the heaviest of the heavy elements synthesized in those mergers; does the yield of various heavy elements match the Solar abundance (e.g., Eichler et al., 1989; Bauswein et al., 2013b; Metzger, 2019; Arcones and Thielemann, 2023; Setzer et al., 2023, and references therein). More generally, nearby multi-messenger detections are critical to understanding what is the possible zoo of electromagnetic counterparts of NS-NS and BH-NS systems (blue versus red kilonovae, choked versus successful and structured versus top-hat jets), and what is the range of circum-burst medium densities in relation to the properties of the host galaxies (e.g., Bloom et al., 2002; Fong and Berger, 2013; Barnes et al., 2016; Hotokezaka et al., 2016; Radice et al., 2016; Bovard et al., 2017; Lazzati and Perna, 2019; Margalit and Metzger, 2019; Nakar, 2020; Ascenzi et al., 2021; Raaijmakers et al., 2021; Camilletti et al., 2022; Fong et al., 2022; Gottlieb and Nakar, 2022; Perna et al., 2022; Gompertz et al., 2023a; Colombo et al., 2023; Nouri et al., 2023).

Ultimately, a diverse sample of multi-messenger detections of nearby and well-localized NS-NS and BH-NS systems will enable us to map the properties of the progenitors as probed by GWs (especially in terms of total mass, mass ratio, and Equation of State, hereafter, EoS; Abbott et al., 2018c; 2019a, and references therein), to the properties of their merger ejecta and of the circum-merger environment as probed by electromagnetic observations (Margalit and Metzger, 2019, and references therein). Joint multi-messenger analysis will then shed light on the physical processes that determine such mapping (e.g., Radice et al., 2018a, and refrences therein).

2.2 Short GRB jets and central engines

The association of GW170817 with a GRB and an off-axis radio-to-X-ray afterglow (Section 2.1; Figure 4) has demonstrated how GW observations can open the way to directly linking GRB progenitors to their relativistic jets. However, we are still far from fully understanding the physics behind the workings of GRB central engines and their jets, especially in terms of emission processes, jet composition and structure, and the role of magnetic fields.

Figure 4

Figure 4. Figure reproduced from Balasubramanian et al. (2022). 3 GHz radio light curve of GW170817 (black dots, red star and red triangle) plus extrapolation of the X-ray observations to the radio band (purple squares), together with the best fit model and corresponding error (black line and gray shaded area) representing the emission from the relativistic jet.

Because in a compact binary merger the amplitude of the emitted GWs depends mildly on the orientation of the binary, GW detections can enable the study of off-axis GRB jets that may otherwise go undetected and/or unrecognized as off-axis events via electromagnetic observations alone (Lazzati et al., 2017; Granot et al., 2018b; Bartos et al., 2019; Dichiara et al., 2020; Matsumoto and Piran, 2020; Schroeder et al., 2020; Grandorf et al., 2021; Ricci et al., 2021; Eddins et al., 2023; Ghosh et al., 2024). This is key to shedding light on the jet structures that, in turn, are determined by complex processes involving the GRB central engines (that power the jet itself), and the interaction of the jets with the neutron-rich debris surrounding the merger sites (e.g., Rossi et al., 2002; Aloy et al., 2005; Bromberg et al., 2011; Nakar and Piran, 2018; Lazzati et al., 2018; Lazzati and Perna, 2019; Gottlieb et al., 2021; Sharan Salafia and Ghirlanda, 2022; García-García et al., 2023; Pavan et al., 2023, and references therein). As demonstrated by $\sim 50$ years of GRB observations, the structure of relativistic jets is largely masked in high-luminosity cosmological GRBs, whose electromagnetic emission is dominated by fast jet cores observed on-axis. In fact, the prompt γ-ray emission of the off-axis GRB 170817A was energetically weaker by about three orders of magnitude than the weakest cosmological short GRB (Fong et al., 2015). Its afterglow showed a behavior substantially different from the power-law-decaying afterglows of cosmological GRBs, with a delayed onset and a rising light curve observed from radio to X-rays (Figure 4 Alexander et al., 2017; Haggard et al., 2017; Hallinan et al., 2017; Margutti et al., 2017; Troja et al., 2017; D’Avanzo et al., 2018; Mooley et al., 2018b; Margutti et al., 2018; Mooley et al., 2018a; Makhathini et al., 2021; Balasubramanian et al., 2022). While extensive multi-band observations and detailed modeling have allowed us to link these unusual properties of GRB 170817A with a structured jet observed off-axis (Lazzati et al., 2018), significant uncertainties remain. Specifically, the polar profile (distribution of energy as a function of polar angle) of the GW170817 outflow remains highly debated, with analytical functions including Gaussian, power-law, and exponential profiles, as well as numerically-simulated profiles, all providing plausible fits to the data. In the radio band, future observations of off-axis GRB light curves combined with polarization measurements and Very-Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI) can help shed light on both the jet structure and the largely unknown structure of magnetic fields within shocked ejecta (e.g., Ghisellini and Lazzati, 1999; Sari, 1999; Corsi et al., 2018; Gill and Granot, 2018; Granot et al., 2018a; Mooley et al., 2018a; Ghirlanda et al., 2019; Gill and Granot, 2020; Teboul and Shaviv, 2021, and references therein).

The origin of the γ-rays in GRB170817a remains equally debated: while the structured outflow model can explain why a GRB was detected even if off-axis (Lazzati et al., 2017), a mildly relativistic shock breakout of a cocoon from the merger’s ejecta is also possible (Gottlieb et al., 2018). Future multi-messenger observations of off-axis GRBs (including potential coincident detections between GW signals and sub-threshold GRBs; Kocevski et al., 2018; Magee et al., 2019; Tohuvavohu et al., 2020; Fletcher et al., 2023), will greatly help settle these debates (Lazzati, 2020; Beniamini et al., 2022; Bošnjak et al., 2022).

While the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA detectors (Figure 2, left and central panel) continue to improve their sensitivity to GWs from GRBs (Abbott et al., 2021b; 2022b), these searches will undergo a leap forward when next-generation GW detector such as CE and ET, with $\approx 10 \times$ the sensitivity of the current LIGO detectors (Figure 2, right panel; Figure 3), will probe the population of NS-NS mergers up to the star formation peak (and beyond for BH-BH mergers, Figure 5; Branchesi et al., 2023; Evans et al., 2023; Gupta et al., 2023a). With these next-generation detectors, we can expect each short GRB observed by satellites such as Fermi (Thompson and Wilson-Hodge, 2022) and Swift (Gehrels et al., 2004) to have a counterpart in GWs (Ronchini et al., 2022). The direct mapping of GRBs to their progenitors—something inaccessible to electromagnetic observations alone—is key to shedding light on the conditions that enable the launch of successful relativistic jets, especially in relation to the properties of the progenitors (including whether BH-BH mergers make GRBs; Loeb, 2016; Connaughton et al., 2016; Dai et al., 2017; Perna et al., 2018; 2019; Veres et al., 2019; Graham et al., 2023) and the nature of the central engines (BHs versus long- or short-lived NSs; Bucciantini et al., 2012; Giacomazzo and Perna, 2013; Bauswein et al., 2013a; Giacomazzo et al., 2013; Mösta et al., 2020, see also Section 2.4). Systematic measurements of the delay times between GW mergers and GRBs, in addition to providing stringent fundamental physics tests, will further our understanding of the GRB jet launching mechanisms, of the physics of the jet breakouts from the surrounding medium, and of the dissipation and radiation mechanisms as related to the unknown composition of jets (Granot et al., 2017; Shoemaker and Murase, 2018; Zhang, 2019; Lazzati, 2020).

Figure 5

Figure 5. Figure adapted from Evans et al. (2023). The reach of current and future ground-based GW detectors for compact binary mergers (NS-NS mergers in gold; BH-NS mergers in red; and BH-BH mergers in black; see Section 2.5) is represented as a function of total binary mass and redshift at various signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) thresholds (blue lines for SNR 8; orange lines for SNR 100; and green lines for SNR 1000). The population of observed compact-object binaries is plotted with small triangles. We use dotted lines for LIGO at its O4 sensitivity; dashed lines for LIGO at its projected O5 sensitivity, also referred to as LIGO A+ (Abbott et al., 2018a); and dash-dotted lines for LIGO at its projected post-O5 A# sensitivity (the ultimate performance of current LIGO detectors envisioned for the post-O5 era; Fritschel et al., 2023). CE40 (Evans et al., 2023), a next-generation GW detector concept, can expand the cosmic horizon of NS-NS mergers, and enable observations of new populations including mergers from Population III BHs (blue dots), and speculative primordial BHs (magenta dots).

Probing directly and systematically the progenitor of short GRBs observed in γ-rays will also shed light on whether the phenomenological classification of GRBs in short/hard and long/soft as related to two different classes of progenitors (compact binary mergers and collapsars, respectively) holds in all cases. In fact, this classification scheme has been challenged by observations of long GRBs associated with kilonovae or lacking supernova counterparts to very deep limits, and short GRBs showing potential supernova bumps in their light curves (Della Valle et al., 2006; Fynbo et al., 2006; Ahumada et al., 2021; Troja et al., 2022a; Rastinejad et al., 2022; Rossi et al., 2022; Yang et al., 2022; Barnes and Metzger, 2023; Gompertz et al., 2023b). In the future, deep GW observations of these peculiar GRBs will provide the definitive word on the nature of their progenitors and likely settle current classification debates (Dimple et al., 2023).

2.3 Electromagnetic precursors to compact binary mergers

Electromagnetic emission from GW170817 was probed only after the GW merger (starting from about 2 s after; Figure 1) with the detection of γ-rays. Hence, as of today, the pre-merger phase remains unexplored in terms of potential electromagnetic counterparts. As the sensitivity and number of ground-based GW detectors increase, GW observations of an in-spiraling system can provide the advance notice required to capture light from the moments closest to merger (Figure 6; see also Cannon et al., 2012; Singer and Price, 2016; Messick et al., 2017; Chan et al., 2018; Zhao and Wen, 2018; Sachdev et al., 2020a; Magee et al., 2021; Nitz and Dal Canton, 2021; Nitz et al., 2020; Borhanian and Sathyaprakash, 2022; Banerjee et al., 2023; Chatterjee and Wen, 2023; Hu and Veitch, 2023; Miller et al., 2023).

Figure 6

Figure 6. This Figure is based on the simulations presented in Gupta et al. (2023a), for GW detector networks containing zero to three next-generation observatories. The HLA network contains the two current LIGO detectors (Hanford and Livingston) operating at the upgraded A# sensitivity (Figure 3), plus the LIGO Aundha at A# sensitivity. The 20LA and 40LA networks represent configurations with a single 20 km-long arms CE detector operating in the context of an upgraded (A# sensitivity) LIGO network with locations in Livingston and Aundha. The HLET network is one with a single next-generation GW detector (ET) operating together with LIGO Hanford and LIGO Livingston at their upgraded A# sensitivity. The 4020A network represents the CE reference configuration as described in (Evans et al., 2023), with one 40 km-long and one 20 km-long next-generation detectors plus LIGO Aundha at A# sensitivity. The 20LET and 40LET networks represent a single CE detector (either 20 km or 40 km) operating with LIGO Livingston and the ET. Finally, the 4020 ET is the reference CE configuration operating with ET. For these networks, we calculate the signal-to-noise ratio of NS-NS systems at 1, 2, 5, 10, 30, 60, 120, 300, 600 min before merger (data points) for events that are localized within 100 deg² (top) or 10 deg² (bottom) at 5 min before merger, in 1 year. If the network signal-to-noise ratio is $> 10$ at the considered time before merger, then the binary is included in the count. We assume a local merger rate density of 320 Gpc⁻³ yr⁻¹, but note that this rate is subject to large uncertainties (10−1700 Gpc⁻³ yr⁻¹; Abbott et al., 2023b). There are no events satisfying the imposed criteria at $> 120$ min before the merger given the assumed low-frequency cut-off of 5 Hz for all the detectors (results could be improved if ET reaches sub-5Hz sensitivity). We also note that all events with ΔΩ ≤ 10 deg² at 5 min before merger are located at z < 0.2; and, all events with ΔΩ ≤ 100 deg² at 5 min before merger are located at z < 0.5. Finally, all events detected 5 min before merger (with no restrictions on the localization accuracy) lie at z < 0.9.

Multi-messenger observations of the moments just before the merger could probe several highly-debated astrophysical scenarios (see Wang and Liu, 2021, for a recent review, and references therein). From a theoretical perspective, models predict the possible existence of pre-merger electromagnetic signatures via a variety of mechanisms including two-body electromagnetic interactions, resonant NS crust shattering, magnetic reconnection and particle acceleration through the revival of pulsar-like emission during the in-spiral phase, the decay of tidal tails, the formation of fireballs or wind-driven shocks (e.g., Goldreich and Lynden-Bell, 1969; Vietri, 1996; Hansen and Lyutikov, 2001; Moortgat and Kuijpers, 2006; Roberts et al., 2011; Lai, 2012; Metzger and Berger, 2012; Piro, 2012; Tsang et al., 2012; Penner et al., 2012; Medvedev and Loeb, 2013; Metzger and Zivancev, 2016; Suvorov and Kokkotas, 2019; Beloborodov, 2021; Sridhar et al., 2021; Most and Philippov, 2023b; Cooper et al., 2023). It has also been suggested that in the late in-spiral phase of a NS-NS or BH-NS merger in which one NS is a magnetar, the tidal-induced deformation may surpass the maximum that the magnetar’s crust can sustain, driving a catastrophic global crust destruction that releases magnetic energy as a superflare with energy hundreds of times larger than giant flares of magnetars (Zhang et al., 2022). Numerical studies support the conclusion that electromagnetic flares may be observed before the merger (Palenzuela et al., 2013; Most and Philippov, 2020; 2022; 2023a). A key related open questions is whether NS mergers may power a fraction of fast radio bursts (FRBs; Lorimer et al., 2007; Thornton et al., 2013; Zhang, 2014; Williams and Berger, 2016; Paschalidis and Ruiz, 2019; Rowlinson et al., 2019; Zhang, 2020; Wada et al., 2020; Chen Z.-L. et al., 2023; Pan et al., 2023).

Observationally, while high-energy precursors have been observed in short (and long) GRBs (Lazzati, 2005; Burlon et al., 2008; 2009; Troja et al., 2010; Zhong et al., 2019; Wang et al., 2020; Petroff et al., 2022; Dichiara et al., 2023), it is still a matter of debate whether these precursors have a different origin from that of the GRB itself, or are rather just a manifestation of the variable GRB emission (Charisi et al., 2015; Xiao et al., 2022). Searches for electromagnetic precursors have been carried in coincidence with compact binary mergers identified by LIGO and Virgo during O2/O3 having a non-negligible probability to contain a NS (Stachie et al., 2022). While these searches found no significant candidate precursor signals, open questions discussed above can be explored in future searches with improved sensitivity, potentially aided by GW early alerts and localizations, and extending across the electromagnetic spectrum (from radio to γ-rays; Figure 6).

2.4 Nature of the merger remnant and neutron star EoS

After a NS-NS merger, a compact remnant is left over. The nature of such a remnant—either a NS or a BH—is thought to depend primarily on the masses of the binary components (i.e., total mass of the system and mass ratio) and on the EoS of nuclear matter (e.g., Ravi and Lasky, 2014; Piro et al., 2017; Shibata and Hotokezaka, 2019). If a NS remnant is formed (as opposed to a prompt BH formation), its lifetime could range from short lived (hypermassive NS supported only temporarily against gravity by differential rotation), to long lived (supramassive NSs supported against gravity by uniform rotation), to indefinitely stable (Beniamini and Lu, 2021; Margalit et al., 2022; Wang et al., 2024). GWs can be used to probe the post-merger remnant via a variety of yet-to-be detected signals and, when paired with electromagnetic observations, can greatly help us understand the astrophysics of the post-merger phase.

GWs produced by oscillations of the hot, extremely dense remnant may come into reach with improved ground-based detectors (e.g., Bauswein et al., 2012; Clark et al., 2014; Bauswein and Stergioulas, 2015; Clark et al., 2016; Krolak et al., 2023). The formation of a hypermassive NS is expected to give off quasi-periodic GWs of frequencies $\approx 2 - 4$ kHz, while GWs from quasi-normal modes of promptly-formed BHs are found at higher frequencies of $\approx 6.5 - 7$ kHz (Shibata and Taniguchi, 2006; Breschi et al., 2022). Hence, post-merger GW observations can be used to constrain the yet-uncertain EoS of NS matter in a way complementary to measurements of the tidal deformation of the NSs during the late in-spiral phase (e.g., Flanagan and Hinderer, 2008; Chatziioannou et al., 2017; Landry, 2023). Simulations indicate that oscillations of a deformed, differentially rotating massive NS emit a GW spectrum with a pronounced peak generated by the fundamental quadrupolar oscillation mode, whose frequency correlates with the radius of the non-rotating NS (Bauswein et al., 2012). More specifically, the frequency of this mode is proportional to the square root of the mean density (Bauswein et al., 2012). Hence, for a given remnant mass (approximately given by the total binary mass), the peak frequency is determined by the radius. In turn, the determination of the dominant post-merger GW frequency can provide an upper-limit for the maximum mass of non-rotating NSs, with implications for the NS mass distribution and, indirectly, electromagnetic counterparts (Margalit and Metzger, 2017; Ai et al., 2020; Bernuzzi, 2020). It has also been suggested that in compact binary mergers where short-lived NSs are formed after the merger, the quasi-periodic oscillations of the remnants may imprint quasi-periodic modulations of the γ-rays emitted in the associated GRBs (Chirenti et al., 2023). As of today, the viability of this process remains debated (Most and Quataert, 2023).

After the early (dynamical) GW-driven phase, the (secular) evolution of remnants that did not collapse to BHs is driven by viscous magnetohydrodynamics processes and neutrino cooling (Piro et al., 2017; Bernuzzi, 2020). Mapping observationally NS-NS progenitors to their remnants via their GW and electromagnetic emission offers an unprecedented opportunity to understand this complex interplay of gravitational, nuclear, weak and electromagnetic interactions (Beniamini and Lu, 2021; Margalit et al., 2022; Wang et al., 2024). In the case of GW170817, the presence of an electromagnetic counterpart disfavors a prompt BH formation. The velocity, total mass, and electron fraction of the blue kilonova ejecta (as constrained from the observations) support the idea that the merger formed a rapidly spinning hypermassive and magnetized NS, with a 0.1–1s lifetime (Metzger et al., 2018). In this interpretation, the lifetime of the GW170817 merger remnant is short because a long-lived remnant would have injected a rotational energy of a few $\approx 1 0^{52}$ erg into the ejecta, which can be excluded from observations (Radice et al., 2020). However, an interpretation of GW170817 in the context of a long-lived (days to months) remnant with a small dipole magnetic field (so as to minimize the energy injected into its outflows) cannot be excluded (Ai et al., 2018; Yu et al., 2018).

Overall, post-merger scenarios involving long-lived or stable NSs formed in compact binary mergers have been proposed to explain various features in GRB light curves and have received new attention after GW170817. Proposed electromagnetic signatures of long-lived remnants range from brighter-than-normal magnetar-powered kilonovae, to early-time X-ray afterglow plateaus and late-time radio and X-ray flares (Nakar and Piran, 2011; Rowlinson et al., 2013; Hotokezaka et al., 2018; Bartos et al., 2019; Kathirgamaraju et al., 2019; Nedora et al., 2021; Ai et al., 2022; Sarin et al., 2022; Sadeh et al., 2024; Wang et al., 2024). Proposed GW signatures include oscillation modes of a short-lived hypermassive NS, bar-mode instabilities, and rapid spindown powered by magnetic-field induced ellipticities (e.g., Lai and Shapiro, 1995; Owen et al., 1998; Cutler, 2002a; Shibata, 2005; Corsi and Mészáros, 2009; Hotokezaka et al., 2013; Ciolfi and Rezzolla, 2013; Dall’Osso et al., 2015; Clark et al., 2016). Several observing campaigns aimed at identifying electromagnetic or GW signatures of long-lived remnants have been conducted for both GW170817 and other short GRBs, and promise to become more constraining of proposed models with next-generation GW and electromagnetic instrumentation (e.g., Coyne et al., 2016; Horesh et al., 2016; Abbott et al., 2017d; 2019b; Sowell et al., 2019; Schroeder et al., 2020; Balasubramanian et al., 2021; Bruni et al., 2021; Abbott et al., 2021c; Grandorf et al., 2021; Balasubramanian et al., 2022; Troja et al., 2022b; Hajela et al., 2022; Eddins et al., 2023; Grace et al., 2023; Krolak et al., 2023; Ghosh et al., 2024). By probing the mass of the post-merger remnants in a systematic fashion, next-generation GW detectors like CE and ET could also probe models of supernova engines (Fryer, 2023).

2.5 Compact binary merger population properties

As the number of NS-NS, BH-NS, and BH-BH detections increases following the improvement in sensitivity of the LIGO, Virgo, and KAGRA detectors (Figure 3, 7), MMA studies based on single-event analyses will be crucially complemented by statistical studies of larger source samples. While interesting individual events and outliers will enable probing the most extreme systems, joint analyses of a large number of compact binaries will yield an exquisite characterization of the properties of the bulk of the population. These analyses can constrain key population properties such as merger rates, mass distributions, r-process yields, properties of the GRB jets, etc. (e.g., Biscoveanu et al., 2020b; Chen et al., 2021; Abbott et al., 2023b; Biscoveanu et al., 2023; Delfavero et al., 2023), while enabling comparison with similar constraints derived from observations via other messengers (e.g., Belczynski et al., 2021; Landry and Read, 2021; Fishbach and Kalogera, 2022; Mandel and Broekgaarden, 2022; Liotine et al., 2023). On the longer term, the study of NS-NS mergers is likely to see an even more substantial shift from single-event analyses to population inference and statistical studies. In fact, next-generation GW detectors may enable us to probe the properties of NS-NS mergers across cosmic history and galactic environments (Figure 5), measure the time delay distribution between formation and merger (Safarzadeh et al., 2019), and thereby infer the history of chemical evolution in the Universe even beyond the reach of electromagnetic astronomy (Chruślińska, 2022). For the loudest and best-localized BH-BH binaries, the uncertainty volume will be small enough to confidently identify the host galaxy even in absence of a counterpart (Vitale and Whittle, 2018; Borhanian and Sathyaprakash, 2022). The ability of GW detectors to precisely measure masses, distances and sky positions of thousands of mergers per year is key to this end (Vitale and Evans, 2017; Gupta et al., 2023a; Evans et al., 2023, see Figure 7).

Figure 7

Figure 7. Figure derived from the simulations presented in Gupta et al. (2023a). Redshift distribution of NS-NS mergers detected in 1 year and localized within the sky area indicated at the top, for various networks of ground-based GW detectors (see the caption of Figure 6). The small vertical lines on the x-axis mark the median redshift of each distribution. The assumed local merger rate density of NS-NS systems is 320 Gpc⁻³ yr⁻¹. We note that this rate is subject to large uncertainties (10 − 1700 Gpc⁻³ yr⁻¹; Abbott et al., 2023b).

Increased detection rates of compact binary mergers containing the heaviest stellar-mass BHs will also shed light on crucial open questions in stellar astrophysics, especially when combined with electromagnetic surveys. Theory predicts the existence of a gap in the BH mass distribution because of pair-instability supernova (Fowler and Hoyle, 1964; Barkat et al., 1967; Woosley, 2017). This mechanism should produce a dearth of BH-BH binaries with components in the mass range $\sim 50 - 135 M_{⊙}$ (e.g., Belczynski et al., 2016). The largest uncertainty on the lower end of this “mass gap” comes from uncertainties on the nuclear reaction rate ${}^{12}C {(α, γ)}^{16} O$ (Farmer et al., 2019). The mass gap can be contaminated from hierarchical mergers of lower-mass BHs (Fishbach et al., 2017; Gerosa and Berti, 2017; Gerosa and Fishbach, 2021; Tagawa et al., 2021; Ford and McKernan, 2022) and from other formation channels with possible characteristic electromagnetic signatures, including stellar collisions in young stellar clusters (Costa et al., 2022; Ballone et al., 2023); the core collapse of rapidly rotating massive stars from progenitors with helium cores ≳ 130 M_⊙ (“collapsars”), which could lead to long GRBs, r-process nucleosynthesis, and GWs of frequency $\sim 0.1 - 50$ Hz from non-axisymmetric instabilities (Siegel et al., 2022); super-Eddington accretion in isolated binaries (van Son et al., 2020); or more exotic scenarios, such as accretion onto primordial BHs (De Luca et al., 2021; De Luca and Bellomo, 2023). Several astrophysical scenarios predict the possibility of mergers between BHs on the “far side” of the mass gap (Mangiagli et al., 2019; Hijikawa et al., 2021; Santoliquido et al., 2023). The observation of such mergers with next-generation GW detectors could allow us to measure the location of the upper end of the mass gap. Since the “width” of the mass gap is to a good approximation constant as a function of the uncertain nuclear reaction rates (e.g., Farmer et al., 2019), these constraints will also inform us about the location of the lower end of the mass gap. Theoretical predictions should also be compared with the already evident “bump” in the observed mass distribution of BH-BH mergers at $\sim 35 M_{⊙}$ that cannot be explained by Poisson noise alone (Farah et al., 2023). Ultimately, the combination of GW observations and electromagnetic transient surveys can give important insight into nuclear reaction rates and supernova physics (Farmer et al., 2020; Karathanasis et al., 2023).

2.6 Impact of GW-enabled MMA on cosmology

Observations of GWs from well-localized compact binary mergers can measure absolute source distances. When coupled with an independent determination of redshift through an electromagnetic counterpart, they provide constraints on the Hubble constant (H₀) and hence the expansion history of the Universe (e.g., Schutz, 1986; Holz and Hughes, 2005; Dalal et al., 2006; Sathyaprakash and Schutz, 2009; Nissanke et al., 2010; Del Pozzo, 2012; Abbott et al., 2017a; Mukherjee et al., 2021a; Jin, 2023; Mancarella et al., 2023; Chen et al., 2024). Absolute distance measurements at low redshifts, as those enabled by GW observations, can constrain dark energy when combined with observations of the primary anisotropies in the cosmic microwave background (e.g., Hu, 2005). We note that, in modified theories of gravity that predict a non-trivial dark energy equation of state and deviations from general relativity in the propagation of GWs across cosmological distances, the effect of the modified GW propagation can dominate over that of the dark energy equation of state, potentially becoming observable with next-generation GW observatories (e.g., Belgacem et al., 2018; Mukherjee et al., 2021c; Afroz and Mukherjee, 2023).

Multi-messenger observations of GW170817 allowed for a measurement of the Hubble constant using the GW detection of the NS-NS merger combined with the optical identification of the host galaxy (Abbott et al., 2017a). The GW measurement returned a value of $H_{0} = 7 0_{- 8}^{+ 12}$ km s⁻¹ Mpc⁻¹. While this measurement is not sufficiently precise to significantly impact the current debate on the tension between different measurements of H₀ (Freedman, 2021; Freedman and Madore, 2023; Kamionkowski and Riess, 2023), its importance as a measurement completely independent of both the Planck cosmic microwave background and the local Cepheid-supernovae distance ladder measurements has been widely recognized. The dominant source of uncertainty in the H₀ measurement via GWs is the degeneracy between the binary viewing angle and the source distance. Hence, an independent determination of the viewing angle is of great importance (Nakar and Piran, 2021). For this reason, and as demonstrated by GW170817 itself, VLBI observations of the afterglow radio centroids and images of compact binary mergers are key to improve the H₀ measurement (Mooley et al., 2018a; Ghirlanda et al., 2019; Chen H.-Y. et al., 2023; Govreen-Segal and Nakar, 2023). Hotokezaka et al. (2019) estimate that 15 more localized GW170817-like events (with comparable signal-to-noise ratio and favorable orientation), having radio images and light curve data, can resolve the current Hubble tension, as compared to 50–100 GW events necessary in the absence of radio data. An accurate measurement of the Hubble constant from standard siren GW cosmology also requires a robust peculiar velocity correction of the redshift of the host galaxy (Nimonkar and Mukherjee, 2024).

It is important to note that a substantial fraction of sources detected by a given GW network over a certain timescale may not have associated transient electromagnetic counterparts. However, multi-messenger studies can still be relevant as they provide advantages related to incorporating host galaxy information. Indeed, it is possible to carry out a measurement of H₀ using a statistical approach that incorporates the redshifts of all potential host galaxies within the GW three-dimensional localization region (Chen et al., 2018). This technique yields an H₀ measurement that has a greater uncertainty than that which can be achieved via direct counterpart identifications, but still informative once many detections are combined (Chen et al., 2018). The statistical approach also implies that, in the absence of a counterpart, only those GW events with small enough localization volumes yield informative H₀ measurements. Another proposed statistical technique exploits the clustering scale of the GW sources with galaxies of known redshift, and will be applicable also to the high redshift GW sources detectable with next-generation GW detectors (Mukherjee et al., 2021b; Cigarrán Díaz and Mukherjee, 2022; Mukherjee et al., 2022). In summary, with GW detectors of improved sensitivity able to observe farther and to localize better, galaxy surveys and statistical approaches for the measurement of H₀ are likely to become more and more relevant (Ye and Fishbach, 2021; Borghi et al., 2023; Dalang and Baker, 2023; Ghosh et al., 2023). In the era of next-generation GW detectors, other statistical techniques that do not require host galaxy information nor electromagnetic counterpart identifications may complement the constraints on cosmology as determined via these MMA techniques, particularly for the population of BH-NS mergers (Colombo et al., 2023; Shiralilou et al., 2023).

3 New frontiers in MMA

NSs and stellar-mass BHs, in isolation, in binary systems, and/or overall as populations, can be sources of GW signals that are very different from the compact binary merger signals already detected by LIGO and Virgo. We have mentioned some of these signals in the context of the nature of the post-merger remnant question left open by GW170817 (Section 2.4). Here, we expand our discussion to a zoo of yet-to-be-detected signals that may reveal the physics behind a suite of extreme astrophysical phenomena, and open new ways of doing MMA that include inference of population properties via correlations between the GW signals and other (electromagnetic) observables such as galaxy counts and the cosmic microwave background (e.g., Ando et al., 2013; Mukherjee et al., 2020b; a; Agarwal et al., 2022; De Lillo et al., 2022; Balaudo et al., 2023; De Lillo and Suresh, 2023; De Lillo et al., 2023; Perna et al., 2023; Yang et al., 2023).

Rotating NSs are thought to produce quasi-periodic GWs that can last for millions of years (and hence are usually referred to as continuous GWs), arising from time-varying mass quadrupoles supported by elastic or magnetic stresses (Melosh, 1969), or current quadrupoles known as “r-modes” (Andersson, 1998; Lindblom et al., 1998; Glampedakis and Gualtieri, 2018). Accreting NSs (low-mass X-ray binaries), which are thought to become millisecond pulsars after accretion ends, can also be driven to non-axisymmetry by lateral temperature gradients (Bildsten, 1998; Ushomirsky et al., 2002), internal magnetic distortion (Melosh, 1969; Bonazzola and Gourgoulhon, 1996; Cutler, 2002b), or magnetic bottling of accreted material (Melatos and Payne, 2005), hence emitting GWs. Continuous GW emission will help reveal properties of NSs such as composition (EoS), internal magnetic field, and viscosity, in addition to unveiling NSs that cannot be observed electromagnetically (e.g., Bonazzola and Gourgoulhon, 1996; Bildsten, 1998; Owen et al., 1998; Andersson and Kokkotas, 2001; Owen, 2005; Glampedakis and Gualtieri, 2018; Gittins et al., 2021; Morales and Horowitz, 2022; Riles, 2023, and references therein). Current searches for continuous GWs produced by spinning NSs with asymmetries improve with every LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA run (e.g., Abbott et al., 2022c) and dozens of known millisecond pulsars could come into the reach of next-generation GW detectors (Woan et al., 2018; Gupta et al., 2023a; Evans et al., 2023), with the potential of many more thanks to upcoming or next-generation electromagnetic facilities such as the next-generation Very Large Array (ngVLA; Murphy and ngVLA Science Advisory Council, 2020) and the Square Kilometre Array (Kalogera et al., 2019; Evans et al., 2023; Pagliaro et al., 2023; Riles, 2023; Wette, 2023). Detection by next-generation instruments also looks promising for bright low mass X-ray binaries such as Scorpius X-1 (Gupta et al., 2023a; Evans et al., 2023).

Impulsive, energetic NS events other than binary mergers can also produce bursts of GWs. For example, magnetar γ-ray flares (possibly accompanied by FRBs; Abbott et al., 2022d; Abbott et al., 2022d; Ball and Frey, 2023) and pulsar glitches (e.g., Abbott et al., 2022a) are the targets of current searches for GW signals in LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA data. While near-future detector upgrades could probe GW signals expected in the most optimistic scenarios (Corsi and Owen, 2011), next-generation GW observatories are likely to probe a wider range of possible GW outcomes (Evans et al., 2023). We stress that the detection of normal modes of NSs such as so-called “f-modes” will measure the cold NS EoS and masses of a population different from that seen in compact binary mergers, and combined with electromagnetic observations will yield information on internal magnetic fields (Evans et al., 2023).

Core-collapse supernovae are also thought to generate bursts of GWs from the dynamics of hot, high density matter in their central regions. Next-generation GW detectors are expected to be sensitive to supernovae within the Milky Way and its satellite galaxies (Kalogera et al., 2019; Srivastava et al., 2019; Szczepańczyk and Zanolin, 2022; Evans et al., 2023; Gossan and Hall, 2023), while some extreme supernovae, such as collapsars with cocoons, could generate GWs that could come into reach with current generation GW detectors (e.g., Siegel et al., 2022; Abbott et al., 2020b; Gottlieb et al., 2023, and references therein). The detection of a core-collapse event in GWs would provide a unique channel for observing the explosion’s central engine and the (hot) EoS of the newly formed compact remnant. A nearby supernova could also provide a spectacular multi-messenger event via a coincident neutrino detection (e.g., Bionta et al., 1987; Janka, 2017; Chang et al., 2022; Abbasi et al., 2023; Guarini et al., 2023).

Finally, a stochastic GW background can be generated by a large variety of phenomena of cosmological (Caprini and Figueroa, 2018) and/or astrophysical origin. The detection of a cosmological stochastic background would be of fundamental importance for our understanding of the early Universe. While current GW detectors are not optimized for the detection of a stochastic background of cosmological origin, a fraction of the parameter space in various scenarios is compatible with a detection by future detectors (Caprini et al., 2016; Caprini and Figueroa, 2018; Barish et al., 2021). Astrophysical backgrounds contain key information about the distribution of mass, redshift, and other properties of their corresponding source populations (e.g., Mukherjee and Silk, 2020; Yang et al., 2021). The merger rate of NS-NS mergers as estimated from current observations suggests that distant, unresolvable binary NSs create a significant astrophysical stochastic GW background (Abbott et al., 2018b), adding to the contribution from BH-BH and BH-NS binaries. In addition to compact binary coalescences of BHs and NSs, rotating NSs, magnetars, and core-collapse supernovae can all contribute sub-dominant stochastic backgrounds (e.g., Owen et al., 1998; Ferrari et al., 1999; Buonanno et al., 2005; Regimbau and de Freitas Pacheco, 2006; Regimbau, 2011; Rosado, 2012; Renzini et al., 2022). Overall, the ability to detect and subtract GW foregrounds, and to detect sub-dominant stochastic backgrounds, is critical to unveil potential new avenues for MMA using stochastic GW signals (e.g., Biscoveanu et al., 2020a; Sachdev et al., 2020b; Sharma and Harms, 2020; Mukherjee and Silk, 2021; Zhou et al., 2022; Bellie et al., 2023; Zhong et al., 2023).

4 Discussion

As discussed in Section 2.1, going from one GW170817-like event to $\sim 10$ well-localized NS-NS mergers detected in GWs and enjoying extensive electromagnetic follow-up represents a goal of the utmost importance for the current generation of ground-based GW detectors. It is also critical that the observational resources required to carry out a systematic electromagnetic follow up of NS-NS and BH-NS systems remain available. In fact, in the case of GW170817, observations from radio to γ-rays involving space-based and ground-based detectors with field of views (FOVs) ranging from tens of square degrees to a fraction of a square degree (Abbott et al., 2017e, and references therein), all proved essential to shed light on the different ejecta components (from the slow neutron-rich debris powering the kilonova to the structured jet emitting from radio to X-rays; e.g., Burns, 2020; Margutti and Chornock, 2021, and references therein). Going forward, it is clear that the more GW detectors improve their localization capabilities, enabling deep follow-up observations across the electromagnetic spectrum with instruments of different FOVs (Figure 7), the larger the impact of new GW detections on the field of MMA.

Improvements in sensitivity to ground-based GW detectors will enable us to reach a GW localization accuracy of $\approx 10$ deg² (matched to the field of view of the Vera C. Rubin Observatory, hence greatly simpifying the hunt for kilonoave; Ivezić et al., 2019; Andreoni et al., 2022; Gupta et al., 2023b; Figure 7) for hundreds to thousands of NS-NS mergers per year with median redshifts of z_median ≈ 0.15 for networks containing three 4 km-long LIGO detectors at sensitivities comparable to that of the so-called A# configuration (the ultimate performance of current LIGO detectors envisioned for the post-O5 era; Fritschel et al., 2023); z_median ≈ 0.2 for networks containing at least one next-generation GW detector (with sensitivity $\approx 10 \times$ that of the LIGO detectors in their projected O5 configuration); and up to a z_median ≈ 0.6 for an international network with three next-generation GW detectors. A network of ground-based GW detectors including one (three) next-generation instrument(s) could enable localizations of tens (hundreds and up to $\sim 1 0^{3}$ ) of nearby NS-NS mergers per year to ≲ 1 deg² (Figure 7; see also Evans et al., 2023; Gupta et al., 2023a). This, in turn, will allow sensitive tiling observations of the GW error regions with radio (and X-ray) telescopes (such as the ngVLA), as well as IR telescopes (such as Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope; McEnery, 2019), independently of a previous identification of an optical counterpart via larger FOV optical telescopes. This capability is likely to prove critical to probe the higher-mass NS-NS and BH-NS systems that may be characterized by red and dim kilonovae, but still be accompanied by (potentially off-axis) radio-to-X-ray jet afterglows (Chase et al., 2022; Gupta et al., 2023b; Andreoni et al., 2024).

It is fundamental to realize that the same improvement in sensitivity that enables GW detectors in a network to localize nearby compact binary mergers to exquisite accuracy (as discussed above), also enables such detectors to see farther compact binary merger events extending the reach of MMA to higher redshifts (see Sections 2.2, 2.5, 2.6 and Figure 7), as well as to unveil new sources of GW emission (see Sections 2.1, 2.4, 2.3, and 3). Indeed, as evident from the maximum redshift in the distributions in Figure 7, only networks of next-generation detectors can extend the reach of GWs to the peak of star formation (z ≈ 1–2) for GW events localized to ≲ 10 deg². Space missions such as Fermi and Swift, Roman, and future NASA programs focused on the transient and time-variable Universe, are key to ensure continued progress in the electromagentic follow-up of these events (National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, 2023; Sambruna et al., 2023). From the ground, the Rubin Observatory, the Extremely Large Telescopes, and the ngVLA will provide follow-up capabilities for GW events that are key to enable MMA to reach its full potential over the next decade and beyond (Beasley et al., 2019; Chornock et al., 2019; Corsi et al., 2019; Lazio et al., 2019; Murphy et al., 2023; National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, 2023). The IceCube-Generation 2 neutrino observatory will help constrain emission models for high-energy neutrinos in nearby NS-NS mergers and potentially open the way for discoveries across three different messengers (Aartsen et al., 2021; National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, 2023; Mukhopadhyay et al., 2024). Multi-band GW data sets formed with the LISA space-based GW detector can also impact MMA studies of compact binary mergers (see Sesana, 2016; Vitale, 2016; Amaro-Seoane et al., 2023, and references therein).

Author contributions

AC: Writing–review and editing, Writing–original draft, Project administration, Funding acquisition, Conceptualization. LB: Writing–review and editing, Writing–original draft. EB: Writing–review and editing, Writing–original draft. ME: Writing–review and editing, Writing–original draft. IG: Writing–review and editing, Writing–original draft. KoK: Writing–review and editing, Writing–original draft. KeK: Writing–review and editing, Writing–original draft. AN: Writing–review and editing, Writing–original draft. BO: Writing–review and editing, Writing–original draft. BR: Writing–review and editing, Writing–original draft. Jocelyn Samantha JR: Writing–review and editing, Writing–original draft. BS: Writing–review and editing, Writing–original draft. DS: Writing–review and editing, Writing–original draft. JS: Writing–review and editing, Writing–original draft. SV: Writing–review and editing, Writing–original draft.

Funding

The author(s) declare that financial support was received for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article. AC acknowledges support from NSF Grants No. AST-2307358 and PHY-2011608. EB and KK are supported by NSF Grants No. AST-2006538, PHY-2207502, PHY-090003 and PHY-20043, by NASA Grants No. 20-LPS20-0011 and 21-ATP21-0010, by the John Templeton Foundation Grant 62840, by the Simons Foundation, and by the Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation Grant No. PGR01167. KoK is supported by the Onassis Foundation—Scholarship ID: F ZT 041-1/2023-2024. JS acknowledges support from the Dan Black Family Trust, Nicholas and Lee Begovich, and NSF Grants No. PHY-2308985, AST-2219109, and PHY-2207998. JR acknowledges support from Nicholas and Lee Begovich, AST-2219109 and PHY-2110441. IG and BS acknowledge support from NSF Grants No. PHY-2207638, AST-2307147 and PHY-2308886. BR is supported by the NSF Grant 2110460. AN is supported by the NSF Grant PHY-2309240. BO acknowledges NSF Grant 2309305. DS acknowledges support from NASA award 80NSSC23K1242 and from NSF Grant No. PHY-18671764464. ME, LB, BS, DS, and SV acknowledge support from NSF Grant No. PHY-2309064. SV also acknowledges support from NSF Grant No. PHY-2045740.

Acknowledgments

We thank Patrick Brady for providing useful comments on this manuscript.

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

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