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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Pediatr., 17 April 2024
Sec. Neonatology
This article is part of the Research Topic Rising Stars in Neonatology: 2023 View all 5 articles

Time to death and its predictors among neonates admitted with sepsis in neonatal intensive care unit at comprehensive specialized hospitals in Northeast Ethiopia

  • 1Department of Pediatrics and Child Health Nursing, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Wollo University, Dessie, Ethiopia
  • 2Department of Public Health, ALKAN Health Sciences and Business College, Dessie, Ethiopia
  • 3Department of Medical Laboratory Science, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Wollo University, Dessie, Ethiopia

Background: In impoverished nations like Ethiopia, neonatal sepsis contributes significantly to neonatal mortality. Despite variations in the specific timing of death and predictors of neonatal mortality associated with sepsis across different settings, there's limited documented information in the Neonatal Intensive Care Units of northeastern Ethiopia. Consequently, the aim of this study was to determine time to death and its predictors among neonates with sepsis admitted to Neonatal Intensive Care Units in comprehensive specialized hospitals in northeastern Ethiopia

Methods: A prospective cohort study conducted at the institution level involved 306 neonates diagnosed with sepsis. Data collection utilized face-to-face interviews and chart reviews. Subsequently, the data were inputted into Epi-data version 4.6 and later analyzed using STATA version 17. The median time to death was determined, and both the Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank test were applied. Furthermore, a Cox proportional hazard regression model was utilized to identify predictors of neonatal mortality associated with sepsis.

Result: The cumulative incidence of mortality among neonates admitted with sepsis was 34% (95% CI: 28.9%–39.5%). The neonatal mortality rate stood at 51 (95% CI: 42.1, 62) per 1,000 neonates admitted to the intensive care units with sepsis over a total of 1,854 person-days of observation. Additionally, the median time to death was 13 days (IQR = 5–23 days). Tachypnea [AHR 6.2 (95% CI: 1.5–9.7)], respiratory distress syndrome [AHR 2.1 (95% CI: 1.3–3.5)], lethargy [AHR 1.8 (95% CI: 1.2–2.6)], preterm birth [AHR 1.8 (95% CI: 1.2–2.7)], continuous positive airway pressure use [AHR 2.1 (95% CI: 1.3–3.4)], home delivery [AHR 2.63 (95% CI: 1.1–6.4)], Subgalea hemorrhage [AHR 1.8 (95% CI: 1.1–3.9)], and low platelet count [AHR 5.9 (95% CI: 2.3–8.6)] were found to be predictors of time to death in neonates with sepsis.

Conclusion: The study revealed an alarmingly high neonatal mortality rate among septic neonates, underscoring the urgency for intervention. Enhancing the quality of care in neonatal intensive care units, bolstering infection prevention during procedures such as continuous positive airway pressure, exercising caution with locally made accessories, and reinforcing a culture of institutional delivery are critical in curbing neonatal sepsis-related mortalities.

Introduction

Neonatal sepsis is an infection that emerges within the first 28 days of a newborn's life. It is characterized by a systemic inflammatory response syndrome triggered by a suspected or confirmed infection (1, 2). Neonatal sepsis can manifest in two distinct time frames: early-onset sepsis (EOS) occurs within the first 7 days of life, typically within 72 h, and may be acquired during prenatal or intrapartum periods. Conversely, late-onset sepsis (LOS) emerges between 8 and 28 days after birth and is primarily acquired through environmental exposure (1). Additionally, neonatal sepsis can manifest with various presentations, ranging from subclinical infection to severe localized or systemic signs such as convulsions, respiratory distress, poor feeding, lethargy, and jaundice (3).

The health of newborns is seriously affected by neonatal sepsis, and consequently, neonatal sepsis caused 0.23 million deaths worldwide and 6.31 million incidence cases of the condition in 2019. From 1990 to 2019, there were global trends of rising incidence and falling mortality from newborn sepsis, with sub-Saharan Africa and Asia bearing the greatest absolute burden (4). Western Sub-Saharan Africa posed the greatest threat to neonatal sepsis mortality (8.18 per 100,000), while Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa came in second (6.88 per 100,000), including Ethiopia in 2019 (5).

Neonatal sepsis in Ethiopia ranks among the top three causes of neonatal mortality, contributing to one-third of all neonatal deaths (6). Studies conducted in Ethiopia have reported varying incidence rates of neonatal sepsis death, ranging from 8.65 per 100 neonates to 28 per 1,000 neonates in southern and northwest regions, respectively (7, 8). Consequently, Ethiopia, ranking fourth globally in neonatal mortality (6) and among over 60 nations, including Ethiopia, faces challenges in achieving the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) for reducing neonatal mortality (9).

Neonatal sepsis is estimated to have resulted in the loss of between 5.3 and 8.7 million disability-adjusted life years, along with complications such as disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC), respiratory failure, acute renal failure, multiorgan dysfunction, and neurodevelopmental issues. Moreover, it has led to approximately half a trillion dollars in lost economic output in sub-Saharan Africa alone (1012).

Prior research has established an association between neonatal sepsis and various clinical characteristics of the newborn, such as preterm birth, low birth weight, respiratory distress syndrome (RDS), duration of labor, and perinatal hypoxia. Additionally, neonatal sepsis has been associated with factors including maternal age, income level, antenatal care, maternal fever before labor, sexually transmitted infections, initiation of breastfeeding, birth resuscitation, and nasogastric tube (NGT) insertion (3, 7, 8, 1316).

Ethiopia has pledged to achieve the SDGs and has implemented substantial measures to reduce neonatal mortality. These include the Integrated Management of Newborn and Childhood Illness (IMNCI), Kangaroo mother care (KMC), improvement of neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) services in hospitals, capacity building for care providers, neonatal resuscitation training, and the use of empirical antibiotics (17).

While previous cohort studies have explored time to death and its predictors among neonates with sepsis in Ethiopia (7, 8), they primarily relied on retrospective and single institution-based methodologies, indicating a methodological gap. In contrast, our study adopted a prospective cohort design, encompassing multiple centers and incorporating additional variables like birth injuries and respiratory support types. This study aims to determine time to death and predictors among neonates with sepsis admitted to NICUs in comprehensive specialized hospitals in northeastern Ethiopia, aiming to bridge information gaps and offer recommendations to local health stakeholders. Ultimately, our findings can empower hospital managers, care providers, and institutions to enhance neonatal sepsis care and foster survival rates. Furthermore, our study may inspire further multi-level analysis research by other scholars.

Methods

Study period, design, and setting

A multicenter prospective follow-up study was conducted from August 8 to 27 October 2023, in the Neonatal Intensive Care Units (NICUs) of three comprehensive specialized hospitals in northeastern Ethiopia: Woldiya Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, Dessie Comprehensive Specialized Hospital, and Debrebrehan Comprehensive Specialized Hospital. These hospitals collectively serve more than ten million people. Each hospital maintains an average of 33 beds, with 203 patients admitted monthly. The nurse-patient ratio stands at 1:4, while the physician-patient ratio is 1:9 in the NICU. All hospitals provide continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP), mechanical ventilation, and phototherapy services.

Population and eligibility criteria

All neonates diagnosed with neonatal sepsis and admitted to the NICU in comprehensive specialized hospitals in northeastern Ethiopia constituted the source of population. However, neonates with sepsis randomly selected from those admitted to the NICU in these hospitals were included as study units.

This study comprised all neonates diagnosed with neonatal sepsis who were hospitalized in the NICU and had complete sociodemographic responses, along with comprehensive documentation of newborn clinical features, diagnostic studies, management provided, and hospitalization outcomes. However, neonates with major congenital anomalies requiring immediate surgical and medical interventions were excluded.

Sampling size determination and sampling procedures

The sample size was determined by using the double population exposure difference formula using STATA version 17 by taking into account the following assumptions: each covariate hazard ratio (HR) and the probability of event (PE) for the factors, a variability (SD) of 0.5, a confidence interval (CI) of 95%, an 80% power with ratio (1:1), and the probability of withdrawal of 10%. Based on this, the low-birth-weight HR and the PE were (2.12, 28.1%) with a 221-sample size, preterm birth (HR = 2.06, PE = 33.5%) with a 200-sample size, respiratory distress syndrome (HR = 1.77, PE = 35.5%) with a 306-sample size, and oxygen saturation less than 90% (HR = 2.23, PE = 26.4%) with a 209-sample size, as taken from a previous study (8). As a result, the maximum sample size was 306.

In the previous three months, the average number of neonates admitted with sepsis was 971 (Dessie Hospital = 348, Woldiya Comprehensive Hospital = 303, and Debrebrehan Comprehensive Hospital = 320). The required number of subjects was then allocated proportionally to each selected hospital based on population size. Accordingly, 110 newborns from Dessie Hospital, 96 from Woldiya Comprehensive Hospital, and 100 from Debrebrehan Comprehensive Hospital were included in the study. The neonatal logbook, containing the neonatal medical register number, served as the sample frame. Finally, neonates with sepsis were selected from each hospital using systematic random sampling approaches at every third interval until the desired sample size was achieved, with the first neonate chosen by a lottery system (where the neonate's medical registration number was considered a code).

Variables of the study

Dependent variable

Time to death of neonates with sepsis.

Independent variables

Socio-demographic factors (e.g., age of mothers, sex and age of neonates, educational level of mothers, and occupational status).

Obstetrics, labor, and delivery factors (e.g., parity, history of ANC, history of intrapartum fever, prolonged labor, mode and place of delivery, premature rupture of membranes, and pregnancy-related or chronic medical problems).

Newborn clinical and diagnostic features (e.g., gestational age, weight of the neonate, respiratory status, temperature status, RDS, PNA, type of sepsis, jaundice, breastfeeding, reduced movement, lethargy, WBC count, platelet count, and gram stain result).

Complications and management of sepsis (e.g., severe anemia, thrombocytopenia, septic shock, type of respiratory support, antibiotics, maintenance fluid, antiseizure, counseling on newborn care).

Operational definition

Neonatal sepsis is diagnosed as if the neonates have at least more than one of the following clinical features: inability to breastfeed, convulsions, movement only when stimulated, unconsciousness, fast breathing rate (60 breaths per minute), body temperature greater than 37.5°C or <35.5°C, tachycardia (>160 bit/min) or bradycardia (<100 bit/min), and desaturation (<90% oxygen saturation). Furthermore, at least two hematological criteria for abnormality exist, such as a total leukocyte count <5,000 or >12,000 cells/µl and a platelet count <150 × 103 or >450 × 103 cells/μl (18).

Early-onset neonatal sepsis is defined as sepsis identified in neonates within the first seven days of birth (18).

Late-onset neonatal sepsis is defined as sepsis diagnosed in newborns aged more than seven days to 28 days after birth (18).

Neonatal meningitis is an inflammation of the meninges that occurs within the first 28 days of life and is diagnosed when neonates exhibit at least one of the following clinical features: abnormal neurological examination including seizures, abnormal tone, and full fontanels (18).

Death: Neonate with sepsis who passed away during hospitalization within 28 days of delivery and had causes of death reports.

Censored: Neonates with sepsis who were referred to another facility, left without medical recommendation, and discharged due to improvement.

Follow-up time: From the time of enrollment with a neonatal sepsis diagnosis until individuals died or were censored within 28 days after birth.

Time to death: The number of days it takes from NICU admission until the neonate with sepsis dies during the follow-up within 28 days after birth.

Respiratory distress syndrome (RDS): is diagnosed as if the neonates have at least more than two of the following clinical features: grunting, flaring, retraction, and tachypnea, cyanosis, and oxygen saturation less than 90% (18).

CPAP (Continuous Positive Airway Pressure) local accessories are utilized in study areas with limited resources. These accessories serve to replace the CPAP tube package and are crafted from materials such as plastic from normal saline bags or, more commonly, repurposed water bottle containers. These containers are filled with water, forming bubbles whose depth is accurately measured and labeled in centimeters. Primarily designed for the care of preterm infants, these accessories play a crucial role in maintaining lung expansion and preventing alveolar collapse during expiration. The pressure required for CPAP is sustained by the water bubbles within the plastic container, ensuring effective respiratory support for these vulnerable patients. Despite the Ethiopian national guidelines not mentioning locally made CPAP accessories, healthcare providers have taken proactive measures to address the widespread resource constraints in the country (Supplementary File).

Data collection methods and procedures

The data gathering tool was developed based on national technical guidance for maternal and prenatal death surveillance and response (19, 20), the national neonatal intensive care unit guideline follow-up sheet (18), and various literature sources (7, 8, 15). Data collection involved an interviewer-administered questionnaire, direct face-to-face interviews with mothers, and document reviews. Socio-demographic and certain obstetric variables were obtained through direct face-to-face interviews with newborn mothers. Additionally, an observational checklist was used to collect obstetrics and delivery-related variables, essential neonatal characteristics, clinical and diagnostic features, sepsis management and complications, and sepsis outcomes. Information was extracted from the neonatal chart and through daily follow-up.

The validity was subsequently confirmed through expert discussions involving pediatricians, neonatal nurses, pediatric nurses, and public health specialists (Epidemiology and Biostatistics), along with a pre-test study. Revisions were then made based on the pre-test and input from experts to ensure that the questionnaire accurately assessed its intended objectives. The content validity ratio (CVR) and content validity index (CVI) were then calculated, yielding values of 0.80 and 0.84, respectively, indicating the instrument's validity. Following data collection via a pre-test study, the questionnaire underwent evaluation for reliability (reliability coefficient = 0.789, indicating satisfactory reliability) and was assessed for subject appropriateness, simplicity, order, and flow. Initially developed in English, the data collection questionnaire was subsequently translated into Amharic and then back into English to ensure accuracy and uniform understanding.

Data were collected in each hospital's NICU by two neonatal nurse data collectors, each supervised directly by a physician in addition to the investigator. The data collectors monitored the neonates' status upon admission until the end of follow-up or the occurrence of the event of interest (all assessments were completed, and data were obtained). Neonates were examined, and relevant data were collected during each follow-up visit, including neonatal measurements, clinical characteristics, and diagnostic and laboratory test findings. Additionally, any essential management, drugs, or procedures administered during the medication period were documented, and the neonates' outcome status was assessed.

Data quality assurance and management

The data collectors and supervisors underwent initial training and received ongoing monitoring. Written consent was obtained from the mothers of each newborn, explaining the study's objectives and significance. Furthermore, immediate supervisors reviewed the obtained data for accuracy and completeness daily. Crucially, the study authors pretested the questionnaire in a similar environment, covering 5% of the total sample size at Kombolicha General Hospital, which was not part of the primary study. Following the pre-test, revisions and modifications were made. During subsequent visits and at discharge, each mother received health education regarding the outcomes of interest.

Data processing and analysis

Data entry was conducted using EpiData version 4.6.0.6, and subsequently, the data were exported to STATA version 17 for analysis. Descriptive statistics such as frequency tables, percentages, and median were utilized to describe the data. The log-rank test, Kaplan–Meier failure curve, and median time to death were computed. Various models, including the Cox proportional hazards model and three parametric models (Exponential, Weibull, and Gompertz), were applied to identify predictors of mortality among neonates admitted with sepsis. The Cox proportional hazards regression model emerged as the better model based on the lowest AIC score.

The proportional hazard assumption was evaluated through a log-log test (categories of survivorship difference). Statistical differences in survival were tested using the log-rank test (p-value <0.005). Additionally, time dependence and overall goodness of fit were assessed through Schoenfeld residual global tests (χ2 = 8.20, p-value = 0.098), indicating no violation of the assumption and suggesting the absence of time dependence. Consequently, the overall goodness of fit was met (Schoenfeld residual global tests >0.05). To identify predictors of time to death, we established both a bivariable and multivariable proportional hazard regression model. Variables with a p-value of less than 0.25 in the bivariable analysis were included in the multivariable analysis. In the multivariable analysis, we determined the adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI), considering statistical significance at a p-value less than 0.05.

Result

Socio-demographic characteristics

In this study, 306 mother-neonate pairs participated. The majority of newborn mothers were aged between 26 and 30, comprising 110 (35.9%) of the total. Urban residents accounted for 161 (52.6%) of the sample, while 224 (73.2%) were housewives. Among the neonates, 171 (55.9%) were male. The mean age of the mothers was 28.3 years (SD ± 5.7), and the neonates' mean age was 3.7 days (SD ± 5.0) (Table 1).

Table 1
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Table 1. Sociodemographic characteristics of mothers and neonates admitted in NICU of comprehensive hospitals in northeastern, Ethiopia, 2023.

Obstetrics, labor, and delivery-related characteristics

The majority of mothers, 164 (53.6%), were multiparous; 300 (98%) received antenatal care (ANC) follow-up; 233 (76.1%) delivered at a hospital, and 198 (64.7%) had spontaneous vaginal delivery (SVD). Additionally, 91 (29.7%) experienced prolonged labor, 60 (19.6%) had premature rupture of membranes (PROM), 62 (20.3%) had a history of fever during labor, and 54 (17.6%) had pregnancy-induced hypertension (Table 2).

Table 2
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Table 2. Obstetrics, labor, and delivery related features of mothers whose neonates admitted in NICU of comprehensive hospitals of northeastern Ethiopia, 2023.

Newborn medical problems and diagnostic features

The majority of neonates, 183 (59.8%), were term newborns; 77 (25.2%) experienced birth asphyxia, with only 48 (63.2%) receiving resuscitation. Additionally, upon admission, most newborns exhibited tachypnea (162 or 52.9%), respiratory distress syndrome (RDS) (179 or 58.5%), hypothermia (187 or 61.1%), and were unable to breastfeed (273 or 89.2%). Moreover, 263 (85.9%) of the Gram stain results were positive, and 228 (74.8%) were diagnosed with early-onset sepsis. Besides sepsis, neonates also experienced hypoglycemia (74 or 24.2%), meconium aspiration syndrome (MAS) (53 or 17.3%), perinatal asphyxia (PNA) (72 or 23.5%), and birth injuries (21 or 6.9%) (Table 3).

Table 3
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Table 3. Basic characteristics, medical problems and diagnostic features of neonates with sepsis admitted in NICU of comprehensive hospitals in northeastern Ethiopia, 2023.

Management and complication of neonates with sepsis

Of the neonates diagnosed with sepsis, 111 (36.3%) developed anemia, while only 3 (1%) experienced septic shock, 29 (9.5%) suffered from necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC), and 8 (2.6%) had severe thrombocytopenia. The majority, 230 (75.2%), received respiratory support, with 188 (81%) administered intranasal oxygen (INO2), 64 (20.9%) undergoing phototherapy, and 184 (60.1%) receiving ampicillin and gentamicin. Additionally, 276 (90.2%) received maintenance fluid, 50 (16.3%) received calcium gluconate, 109 (35.7%) received thermal care, and 51 (16.7%) underwent whole blood or platelet transfusion (Table 4).

Table 4
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Table 4. Management and complications neonates with sepsis admitted in NICU of comprehensive hospitals in northeastern Ethiopia, 2023.

Time to death with neonatal sepsis

The cumulative incidence of mortality among neonates admitted with sepsis was 34% (95% CI: 28.9%–39.5%). The neonatal mortality rate was 51 (95% CI: 42.1, 62) per 1,000 neonates admitted to the intensive care units with sepsis, based on a total of 1,854 person-day observations. Moreover, the majority of deaths (80, 77.7%) occurred within the first three days of hospitalization, with a median time to death of 13 days (IQR = 5–23 days).

The cumulative failure rate among septic neonates was initially low on the first day after admission but increased steadily with follow-up time up to 28 days of age. Specifically, the cumulative failure rate of septic neonates at the end of the first, third, seventh, fourteenth, twentieth, and twenty-eighth days was 2.35%, 15.93%, 37.11%, 56.1%, 70.63%, and 79.86%, respectively. The hazard of death increases as the duration of hospitalization extends (Figure 1).

Figure 1
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Figure 1. Overall Kaplan–Meier failure estimates of neonates with sepsis admitted in NICU of comprehensive hospitals in northeastern hospitals, 2023.

Time to death comparisons for various categorical variables

In our study, lethargic neonates exhibited a higher risk of mortality compared to non-lethargic neonates. The median hazard time to death for lethargic neonates was 9 days, significantly lower than the 17-day median observed for non-lethargic neonates (95% CI: 1.2–2.6). Additionally, the cumulative incidence rate of neonatal mortality stood at 7.2 per 100 among lethargic neonates with sepsis admitted to NICU comprehensive specialized hospitals. The difference in survival rates was statistically significant with a p-value of 0.003 during the log-rank test (Figure 2A).

Figure 2
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Figure 2. Kaplan–Meier failure curve showing different hazards across different categories of the covariates (lethargy (A), newborn counseling care (B), and types of oxygen support.

CIn addition, neonates who received CPAP treatment experienced a shorter median time to death compared to those who received INO2. The median hazard time to death for neonates who underwent CPAP therapy was 4 days, significantly lower than the 14-day median observed for neonates treated with INO2 (95% CI: 1.3–3.4). Furthermore, the cumulative incidence rate of neonatal mortality among neonates treated with CPAP and admitted to NICU comprehensive specialized hospitals with sepsis was 10.1 per 100. The difference in survival rates was statistically significant with a p-value of 0.000 during the log-rank test (Figure 2B).

Model fitness

The overall goodness of fit was assessed using Schoenfeld residual global tests (χ2 = 8.20, p-value = 0.098), indicating a good fit for the model (the Schoenfeld residual global test was not statistically significant, >0.05). Furthermore, Cox-Snell residual plots were employed to evaluate the overall goodness-of-fit of the Cox proportional hazard regression model. The line representing the Cox-Snell residual of the Cox proportional hazard regression model closely aligned with the 45° straight line. As depicted in Figure 3, this indicates a well-fitted model.

Figure 3
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Figure 3. Cox-snell residual test for the overall model fitted for time to death among neonates admitted with neonatal sepsis.

Predictors of time to death among neonate with sepsis

Following the bivariable proportional hazard regression analysis, factors with p-values less than 0.25 were included in the multivariable proportional hazard regression. The analysis revealed that tachypnea, respiratory distress syndrome (RDS), lethargy, preterm birth, subgaleal hemorrhage, CPAP usage, home delivery, absence of newborn care counseling, and low platelet count were predictors of neonatal sepsis mortality (Table 5).

Table 5
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Table 5. Predictors of time to death among neonates with sepsis admitted in NICU of comprehensive hospitals in northeastern hospitals, 2023.

During the follow-up period, neonates diagnosed with sepsis who were born preterm experienced roughly a two-fold shorter time to death (CI: 1.2–2.7) compared to those born at full term. Similarly, newborns diagnosed with respiratory distress syndrome (RDS) upon admission had nearly twice the risk of a shorter time to death (CI: 1.3–3.5) compared to those without RDS. Additionally, newborns delivered at home faced an almost threefold shorter time to death (CI: 1.1–6.4) compared to those delivered in health centers. Likewise, neonates treated with CPAP had twice the risk of a shorter time to death (CI: 1.3–3.4) compared to those treated with INO2. Furthermore, newborns experiencing complications like a low platelet count had nearly six times the risk of a shorter median time to death (95% CI: 2.3–8.6) compared to those with normal platelet counts.

Discussion

The current study aimed to evaluate the time to death of neonates with sepsis and its predictors among those admitted to the NICU of comprehensive hospitals in northeastern Ethiopia. The neonatal mortality rate was 51 (95% CI: 42.1, 62) per 1,000 neonates admitted to the intensive care units with sepsis, based on a total of 1,854 person-day observations. This figure was lower compared to rates in low-income nations (111.77), low-middle-income countries (70.06), Western Sub-Saharan Africa (63.84), and Northern Ethiopia (63 per 1,000 live births) (5). However, it was higher compared to rates in high-income nations (1.53) and middle-income countries (35.82) per 1,000 live births (5), as well as in Brazil (18.6) (21), southern Ethiopia (14.57) (7), and Northwestern Ethiopia (28) per 1,000 live births (8). The observed differences could stem from variations in sample sizes, as studies with larger sample sizes tend to exhibit lower mortality rates compared to those with smaller samples. Consequently, the mortality rate in our study might appear higher than in studies with smaller samples, yet lower than those with larger ones. Additionally, differences in study settings (urban, rural, or mixed) play a significant role. Previous studies either focused on neonates from major urban centers or remote regions, resulting in lower mortality rates in urban areas and higher rates in rural ones. In contrast, our study encompassed both settings, potentially yielding mortality rates higher than those observed in remote areas yet lower than those in urban-focused studies. Furthermore, studies conducted in primary and general hospitals typically reported higher infant mortality rates than those in tertiary and comprehensive hospitals. Consequently, our study's mortality rate may be higher than those conducted in higher-tier hospitals but lower than those in primary and general hospitals. Similarly, variations in socioeconomic status between nations contribute to differences in mortality rates.

The median time to death in the current study was 13 days (IQR = 5–23 days), a figure comparable to the findings of a study conducted in southern Ethiopia, which reported a median time of 13 days (IQR = 4–14 days) (7). However, studies conducted in northwest Ethiopia and Brazil revealed shorter median times to death, at 6 days (IQR = 3–8 days) (8) and 8 days (IQR = 3–21 days) (21), respectively. This discrepancy could be attributed to differences in the quality of care, clinical setup, competence of healthcare personnel, and the availability of medications. These findings suggest that a higher median mortality rate might be preventable with the implementation of specific measures to enhance the quality of care, provide training for healthcare providers, and ensure the availability of essential drugs.

Preterm neonates diagnosed with sepsis exhibit a two-fold shorter time to death compared to term babies. This trend is consistent with findings from a multisite prospective study conducted across low- and middle-income nations (22), as well as global research conducted in China, Brazil, India, and northwest Ethiopia (8, 21, 23, 24, 25). A plausible explanation is that premature newborns are more susceptible to infections due to the immaturity of vital organs and their immune systems (18). Furthermore, premature infants often require specialized continuous care, including surfactant drug administration, cooling therapy, and advanced support such as extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (4). However, critical services like these are often limited in developing countries (24, 25), leading to an increased risk of hazards and resulting in a shorter time to death among neonates affected by sepsis.

In the current study, neonates diagnosed with respiratory distress syndrome (RDS) were found to have an increased risk of hazards and a shorter time to death from sepsis compared to their counterparts. This observation aligns with findings from previous studies conducted globally, in China, Northwest Ethiopia, and Felegehiwot Comprehensive Hospital (8, 24, 25, 26). The prevalence of RDS as a complication among preterm neonates is attributed to respiratory organ immaturity (18). Consequently, neonates with RDS are more susceptible to developing infections such as sepsis, thereby worsening the prognosis of sepsis. Additionally, the scarcity of RDS support care, including surfactant medications and advanced therapies like extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, in low-income countries (4), particularly in Ethiopia, exacerbates the situation. As a result, the presence of RDS worsens the prognosis of sepsis, leading to a shorter median time for neonatal mortality due to sepsis.

Neonates with sepsis who received CPAP treatment showed a higher risk of death and a shorter time to mortality compared to those treated with INO2. This trend is consistent with findings from studies conducted globally and in China (24, 25). The choice of respiratory support machinery is primarily determined by the gestational age of the neonates. In Ethiopia, for instance, CPAP is administered to very preterm infants (less than 32 weeks), mid preterm babies (32–34 weeks), and occasionally to late preterm neonates (34–36 weeks) experiencing complications related to respiratory distress syndrome (RDS). On the other hand, INO2 is typically reserved for term infants or late preterm babies requiring respiratory assistance. It's important to note that neonates receiving CPAP or INO2 may present with a spectrum of illnesses ranging from mild to severe, all necessitating respiratory support. Thus, the decision to utilize different types of respiratory support is predominantly influenced by the gestational age of the neonate rather than the severity of their illness. Another plausible explanation within our study context is the utilization of locally made CPAP accessories, often crafted from cut water container plastics. During routine care procedures, these materials might become contaminated, inadvertently exposing neonates to sepsis.

Home-delivered babies exhibited a nearly threefold shorter time to death compared to facility deliveries, a trend consistent with studies conducted in India (23, 27). The plausible explanation lies in the risks associated with home delivery, where newborns may be exposed to sepsis due to several factors: assistance by non-medical personnel, inadequate sterility of delivery instruments and surroundings, and an increased likelihood of cord care malpractice (18). Consequently, neonates face a shorter time to death from sepsis. This underscores the importance of strengthening the culture of institutional delivery.

Neonates with a decreased platelet count during hospitalization died sooner than their counterparts, a trend consistent with findings from Turkey (28). This could be attributed to the fact that a neonate with sepsis and a decreased platelet count often experiences significant internal bleeding complications, leading to conditions such as renal failure and multi-organ failure (4, 18, 24, 25). Consequently, this exacerbates the prognosis of sepsis and contributes to a shorter time to death.

Neonates with sepsis exhibiting lethargy and tachypnea experienced earlier mortality, aligning with studies conducted in northwest Ethiopia (8, 15). Lethargy and tachypnea during admission often lead to respiratory failure and hypoglycemia issues. These complications exacerbate the prognosis of sepsis (18, 24, 25), resulting in a shorter lifespan for affected neonates.

Limitations and strengths of the study

The authors utilized a standardized tool for data collection and adopted a multi-center approach with an adequate sample size. Despite the gold standard for diagnosing sepsis being culture, resource limitations in diagnostics and therapeutics prevented its use for diagnosis in this study. Consequently, clinical diagnosis became pivotal, potentially leading to variations in physician diagnoses of clinical sepsis. This variance might influence the incidence of neonatal sepsis mortality. Furthermore, researchers may consider employing a cause-specific mortality estimate (competing risk survival model) to pinpoint specific causes of death in future studies.

Conclusion

In this study, the incidence of neonatal mortality due to sepsis was alarmingly high, necessitating immediate intervention. To mitigate neonatal sepsis-related deaths, enhancing the quality of care in NICU settings is crucial. Additionally, it's imperative to improve infection prevention measures during CPAP procedures or consider avoiding locally made CPAP accessories. Furthermore, behavioral change and health promotion activities should highlight the risks associated with home delivery, such as neonatal sepsis mortality. Efforts aimed at reinforcing the culture of institutional delivery are also essential.

Data availability statement

The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.

Ethics statement

The studies involving humans were approved by Wollo University College of Medicine and Health science research and community service committee with reference No_(WU/CMHS/20/425/2023). The studies were conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements. Written informed consent for participation in this study was provided by the participants’ legal guardians/next of kin.

Author contributions

MW: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal Analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. YB: Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. EB: Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. TB: Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. MH: Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. MB: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal Analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. YE: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal Analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing.

Funding

The authors declare that no financial support was received for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.

Acknowledgments

The author would like to thank Dessie Comprehensive and specialized Hospital, Woldiya Comprehensive and specialized Hospital, and Debrebrehan comprehensive Hospital medical directors and NICU staff for their kind cooperation. I am also thankful to data collectors and the study participants.

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Publisher's note

All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

Supplementary material

The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fped.2024.1366363/full#supplementary-material

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Keywords: time to deaths, predictors, neonatal sepsis, comprehensive hospitals, Northeastern Ethiopia

Citation: Wudu MA, Bekalu YE, Wondifraw EB, Birhanu TA, Hailu MK, Belete MA and Endeshaw YS (2024) Time to death and its predictors among neonates admitted with sepsis in neonatal intensive care unit at comprehensive specialized hospitals in Northeast Ethiopia. Front. Pediatr. 12:1366363. doi: 10.3389/fped.2024.1366363

Received: 6 January 2024; Accepted: 27 March 2024;
Published: 17 April 2024.

Edited by:

Janneke Dekker, Leiden University, Netherlands

Reviewed by:

Luca Bedetti, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Italy
Gebru Gebremeskel Gebrerrufael, Adigrat University, Ethiopia
Wondimeneh Shiferaw, Debre Berhan University, Ethiopia

© 2024 Wudu, Bekalu, Wondifraw, Birhanu, Hailu, Belete and Endeshaw. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

*Correspondence: Muluken Amare Wudu 385mule@gmail.com

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