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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article
Front. Environ. Sci.
Sec. Atmosphere and Climate
Volume 12 - 2024 |
doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1475324
This article is part of the Research Topic Application of Artificial Intelligence-Supported Process-Based Climate Models to Understand the Atmosphere/Weather Patterns and Their Prediction View all 6 articles
Unravelling the Dynamical Characteristics of Tropical Cyclones: Amphan and Nisarga Using ERA5 Reanalysis
Provisionally accepted- 1 Université de Reims Champagne-Ardenne, Reims, Champagne-Ardenne, France
- 2 Centre of Studies in Resources Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
- 3 Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, National Institute of Technology Rourkela, Rourkela, Odisha, India
- 4 Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Östergötland, Sweden
- 5 Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Faculty of Science, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
Tropical cyclone (TC) is a rapidly intensifying storm over warm water of oceans, critically studied for its potential to inflict severe damage and pose life-threatening hazards. The present study focuses on exploring the pre- and post-cyclone characteristics of TC Amphan and Nisarga using ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) reanalysis. Our analysis reveals that the TC features, such as its intensity, life cycle, wind circulations, the warm-core structure evolution, and the related environmental factors are consistent with India Meteorological Department observations. The presented results have indicated that maximum sustainable wind speed, central sea level pressure, lower troposphere temperature and lower stratosphere temperature along the radius from the TC center create a favorable condition which eventually led to the formation and intensification of super and severe cyclonic storms, for example, Amphan and Nisarga, respectively. The analysis suggests that the atmospheric instability, TC formation, development, and energy for intensification are controlled mainly by the warmer than average Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal basin sea surface temperature anomalies in the Indian Ocean region. The results indicated that the TC genesis and movement are well captured by ERA5, close to the observed best tracks provided by the India Meteorological Department, with an RMSE of ~31 km. Vorticity budget study indicates that in the developing and mature stages of TC, the tilting term converts horizontal vorticity into vertical vorticity via upward motion. During the dissipation phase, the tilting term reverses, resulting in a fall in vertical vorticity, which weakens or dissipates the TC. Overall, the circulation pattern appears to reproduce most of the essential characteristics of the mature stage of TCs, like the eye and eyewall, highlighting the importance of near real-time high-resolution reanalysis datasets for exploring the details of extreme events.
Keywords: tropical cyclones, ERA5 reanalysis, TC intensity, vorticity budget, Diabatic heating, environmental factors
Received: 03 Aug 2024; Accepted: 25 Nov 2024.
Copyright: © 2024 Kumar, Verma and Lodh. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
* Correspondence:
Abhishek Lodh, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Östergötland, Sweden
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