- School of Economics, Hainan University, Haikou, China
In recent years, many scholars have shown an increasing interest in the problem of pollution (carbon emission) in the endogenous growth but less concern about the interactions of polluting activities between two economy systems. This study explains the effects of carbon emission on the optimal balanced growth path by establishing an endogenous growth model involving exhaustible resources, human capital, physical capital, and labor time under one economy and a similar system involving two economic systems. The second system is used to analyze the interactions of polluting activities across the two economic systems that it covers. The results show that the negative externality (carbon emission) caused by one economy will bring remarkable adverse impacts on the optimal resource extraction and growth rates of other economies. If the people in one economy pay greater attention to the environmental problem (carbon emission), its own resource input will be lowered to reduce carbon emissions, but carbon emissions of another economy will be increased simultaneously to accelerate the economic growth. That is why carbon emission is one of the most challenging issues in global governance. Therefore, the global environmental pollution control needs the help of the cross-regional governance mechanism.
Introduction
The environment is the material basis and constraint to human survival. Man-made environmental problems came up with population growth and development. In recent times, one of the most challenging global environmental problems is the global climate change caused by greenhouse gases (primarily, carbon compounds). Carbon emission issues have attracted worldwide attention. How to allocate global environmental responsibility among countries is the focus of debate. According to the BP statistical review of world energy of 2018, the global carbon dioxide emissions rose by 2.2% to 33,444 million tons in 2017, which was higher than the 1.2% rise experienced in 2016 and is the fastest pace since 2013.
Economic growth raised the level of carbon emissions, which loop back into the economy through their adverse effects. Meadows et al. (1972) put forward the “Growth Limit Theory” in their research report to the club of Rome. They believed that economic growth would be constrained by natural resources and could not be sustained. In order to protect environmental resources, we must artificially reduce the speed of economic growth. The international community hopes to make economic growth both fair and sustainable by establishing an effective system to coordinate benefit distribution and cost sharing. However, in order to maximize their own interests, it is difficult for countries to reach an effective consensus on environmental responsibility. Stiglitz (1974) was the first literature to introduce the non-renewable resource into the field of a neoclassical growth model. A number of authors, thereafter, began to introduce flow pollution problems caused by non-renewable resources into the endogenous growth model. During recent years, there has been some focus on the interactions between economic growth and carbon emissions. Scholars pointed out that the growth rate of an unregulated market economy is sub-optimally high because the negative effects of pollution are not taken into account (Gradus and Smulders, 1993; Bovenberg and Smulders, 1995; Schou, 2000). The focus of some studies is on finding the optimal extraction and growth rates when considering the pollution problem (Michel and Rotillon, 1995; Withagen, 1995; Byrne, 1997; Reis, 2001; Dietz and Stern, 2015; Kollenbach, 2015; Aznar-Márquez and Ruiz-Tamarit, 2016). Other scholars focus far more on the policy effects in an endogenous growth model of pollution (Bovenberg and Smulders, 1996; Jones and Manuelli, 2001; Greiner, 2005; Chu and Lai, 2014; Afonso and Afonso, 2015; Lorente and Álvarez-Herranz, 2016; Bianco, 2017; Marsiglio, 2017). Although there are many scholars who have explored economic growth and carbon emissions, none of them considers the possibility of the interaction of polluting activities between the two economic systems, which is especially important when facing the problems of global pollution.
This study combines ideas from the areas of endogenous growth, environmental economics, and economic theory of non-renewable resources to examine how the conventional results from growth models with carbon emissions may be affected by the inclusion of the non-renewable resources. An endogenous growth model between the two economic systems is then built to analyze the interaction of polluting activities, with interesting and important conclusions. This study argues that, in the face of the increasingly severe contradiction between the global environmental deterioration and the demand for economic development, a global environmental regulation policy must be established to realize the clean technology progress of the global value chain under the condition of the heterogeneity of environmental regulation. In order to practice the development concept of “the unity of human destiny” and walk out of the extensive economic development mode of “pollution before governance,” we can realize the green sustainable development of the global economy.
The rest of this study is organized as follows: The basic model and primary results of one economy are outlined in section The Basic Model and Primary Results of One Economy. In section The Extended Model Between Two Economies, the extended model between the two economies is addressed. The conclusions and remarks are drawn in section Conclusions, while Appendices A–C are at the end of this article.
The Basic Model and Primary Results of One Economy
Basic Settings
The final output Y is a function of four inputs: physical capital K, stock of technology A, rate of resources use R, and labor time devoted to the final output production l1. All of the variables considered in the model are functions of the time t. To enhance the readability of the study, the subscript (t) has been suppressed in the ensuing discussion. The C-D production function is:
where αi (i = 1, 2, 3) is the elasticity coefficient and . The investment in the physical capital is:
where K(0) = K0, K(t) ≥ 0. Equation (2) is a constraint which considers the change of the physical capital over time. For the sake of simplicity, depreciation in K is not considered here. Aggregate consumption is denoted by C = xY, with 0 < x ≤ 1. Aggregate saving is , where 0 < z ≤ 1 and z = 1 − x. Human capital accumulation depends linearly on time spent on R&D activities (Romer, 1990):
where A(0) = A0, A(t) ≥ 0. Equation (3) is the core of the neoclassical endogenous growth model which expresses that labor time may not only to be devoted to the final output but also in the R&D activity. The total number of skilled workers N is normalized to 1. l2 = 1−l1 is the R&D input of the human capital, wherein li > 0 for i = 1, 2. ξ > 0 is a productive parameter of the R&D activity. Technological change is costly and does not occur by chance; it depends rather on the effort devoted to it and is an outcome of one sector of our economy (Kamien and Schwartz, 1978; Romer, 1990; Scholz and Ziemes, 1999). The carbon stock Q moves during time according to
where 0 < τ ≤ 1 is a constant that expresses the capacity of the environment to assimilate carbon. 0 < ψ < 1 is the carbon emissions factor of using the non-renewable resource R (Di Vita, 2006). The social welfare, at any point in time, is a function of the flow of consumption C and the intensity of carbon Q (Smith, 1972; Aronsson and Löfgren, 1999; Di Vita, 2007). The instantaneous standard constant elasticity utility function can be indicated by
The inclusion of Q in our utility function indicates that we will pay a price to reduce the amount of accumulated carbon. Equation (5) has continuous first and second partial derivatives, with UC > 0, UCC < 0, UQ < 0, UQQ < 0, and UCQ = 0. Second-order conditions ensure the concavity of the utility function. θ, ω > 0 are two more parameters representing the elasticity of the marginal utility with respect to the consumption and carbon concentration.
The social welfare associated with any particular time path for C and Q comes from summing the discounted flow, assuming that the social discount rate δ > 0 is exogenous. The problem of the social planner is to choose C and Q, so as to maximize:
The current-value Hamiltonian function is
where λi, i = 1, 2, 3 are the dynamic Hamilton multipliers of the stock variables. Note that we consider the shadow price of the carbon concentration λ1 to be negative because that flow generates disutility.
The Optimal Balanced Growth Path
According to the optimal control theory (Pontryagin et al., 1962), necessary first-order conditions for an interior optimal solution with respect to the three control variables, C, R, and lr, are:
Then, from Euler Formula, we can obtain
λi(i = 1, 2, 3) are the shadow values of carbon concentration, physical capital, and human capital, respectively. An interior balanced-growth path that solves the problem of the social planner will fulfill the conditions (8)–(13) and the appropriate non-negativity and transversality conditions:
Here, it is assumed that all the conditions in Chiang (2015, p. 131), together with the concavity on the maximized Hamiltonian, are satisfied. The proof that the model describes a stable saddle point equilibrium path is given in Appendix C.
Along the balanced growth path, Y, K, and C must necessarily have the same growth rate (which we call, g). Otherwise, Equation (2) could not hold true for all time. If A grows with a constant rate, l1 must be constant [from Equation (3)]. Also, if Q grows with a constant rate, Q and R must necessarily have the same growth [from Equation (4)]. Using these results, we obtained the steady-state growth rate of the final output (which is equal to the growth rate of capital and consumption). And growth rate for carbon concentration and the human capital was obtained as follows1
Later, the steady-state growth rate is impacted if the disutility of carbon emission is considered. And we obtained some propositions as follows.
Primary Results Analysis
Proposition 1: When carbon emission and its disutility are considered in the endogenous growth model, gA and in the steady state. In this way, gA > gY(gC) > gQ(gR) is always true as confirmed by Appendix B.
Proposition 1 shows that, if carbon concentration impacting the utility level of consumers is considered in the model, in the steady state, the growth rate of output (consumption), gY, and the growth rate of knowledge accumulation, gA, are always greater than zero. But the sign of gQ depends on the value of θ. If the elasticity of the marginal utility of consumption is lower than 1, which means people are not concerned with having a smooth consumption profile over time (θ is small), the growth rate of carbon concentration will be positive. The growth rate of output (consumption) is greater than the growth rate of the resource extraction (carbon concentration) all the time, and the growth rate of knowledge accumulation is always higher than the growth rate of the output. The result in this model shows that the economic growth depends more on the human capital input and less on the resource extraction when the disutility of the carbon concentration is considered. So, gA is always greater than gY, and gQ is always lower than gY. The conclusion made by Stiglitz (1974) and Scholz and Ziemes (1999) is different in the results obtained by both authors, which showed that gA may be either smaller or larger than gY in conventional models.
Another issue that is worth considering is the impacts of the elasticity of the marginal utility with respect to carbon concentration and the balanced growth rate.
Proposition 2: In steady state, taking the partial derivative of gQ, gA, and gY with respect to ω results in all the time. The sign of and depends on the value of θ. The sign of the first-order condition is positive only if θ > 1 as shown in Appendix B.
Proposition 2 shows that, if θ > 1 (which means, gQ < 0 according to proposition 1), a positive relationship exists between the growth rate of carbon concentration, gQ, and the elasticity of the marginal utility with respect to carbon concentration ω. The increase of ω will bring two effects to the optimal path: raising the level of output (and consumption) to increase the positive utility (which will increase carbon concentration at the same time) and cutting down the recourse use to reduce the disutility level. If marginal utility with respect to consumption θ is big, the positive utility of gQ will be bigger than the disutility level of it. So, gQ (less than zero) will increase with the increase of ω and vice versa. The conclusion is the same with the analysis of gY. It was noticed that ∂gA/∂ω < 0 holds all the time, which means that the increase of ω will bring a certain negative influence to the optimal steady-state growth rate of knowledge accumulation.
And then, taking the partial derivative of the growth rate of shadow prices with respect to ω, the next proposition was obtained as follows:
Proposition 3:
Proof. See Appendix B.
The shadow price λ1 represents the sensitivity of the change of carbon concentration impacting the optimal utility level. The high growth rate of λ1 means that high carbon concentrations will bring more negative effects to the optimal utility. Proposition 2 shows that if θ is relatively small (< 1), gλ1 is less than zero, and gλ1 will grow with the increase of the elasticity of the marginal utility with respect to carbon concentration ω. gλ2 (which represents the growth rate of shadow price of physical capital) has the same conclusion with gλ1, which means that, if θ is relatively small (< 1), the increase of ω will enhance the influence of physical capital to the optimal utility level. Note that gλ3 would not be impacted by the change of ω.
The Extended Model Between the Two Economies
This section explored a two-economy system endogenous growth model based on the basic assumptions in section The Basic Model and Primary Results of One Economy. Consider two economies of M and N, which have different utility preferences, output elasticities, and efficiencies of knowledge accumulation. The social optimal problem for the two economy systems can be changed to Equation (22)
where (i, j) ∈ {M, N} and i ≠ j. Note that the only thing that the two economies need to face together is the carbon concentration Q. According to the optimal control theory, necessary first-order conditions for an interior optimal solution and Euler formula from Equation (8) to Equation (13) still hold. So, this section will not cover those again. Along the balanced growth path, Q grows with a constant rate, Q and ψMRM + ψNRN should necessarily have the same growth3. It is easy to prove that4
Equation (A9) can be rewritten
Solving this system of Equations (A7), (A11), and (24) with respect to , and , we obtained
From Equations (25) and (26), it is obvious that and show that the economic activities of one economy will produce negative externality (carbon emission) to another economy at the same time. It will bring adverse impacts to other activities of the economies (Y, R) on the balanced path. Facing the global public goods (carbon concentration), multi-agent decisions often will cause the tragedy of the commons (Hardin, 1968). Both the implementer and sufferer will be punished (lower utility) by the environment. Also, from Equation (27), if θi < 1, then and if θi > 1, then . It means that, if people are concerned with having a smooth consumption profile over time (θi is bigger than 1), the increase in the rate of resource depletion of one economy will boost the growth rate of knowledge accumulation of another economy. That is because higher carbon concentrations caused by one economy's activities will stimulate the knowledge accumulation input of another economy to replace the resource depletion and reduce the growth rate of carbon emission when greater attention is paid to the consumption (θi > 1). Conversely, the growth rate of knowledge accumulation of one economy will go down with the increase of resource depletion of another economy.
Using the symmetry of the optimal solution, we can obtain the optimal solutions of and , respectively.
where (i, j) ∈ {M, N} and i ≠ j, and can be expressedx as
It is obvious that 5, which means that the increase of the elasticity of the marginal utility with respect to the carbon concentration of every economy will lower the growth rate of carbon concentration. Also note that the sign of depends on the value of θi6. If θi > 1, the increase of the efficiency of knowledge accumulation will reduce the growth rate of carbon concentration. On the contrary, the increase of the efficiency of knowledge accumulation will speed up the growth rate of carbon concentration. The increase of the efficiency of knowledge accumulation will replace the resource input and decrease the carbon emission (which can be called substitution effect) and, on the other hand, promote economic growth and increase the carbon emission (which can be called growth effect). If θi > 1, the substitution effect is bigger than the growth effect, and the growth rate of carbon concentration will decline with the increase of the efficiency of knowledge accumulation. Based on these results, the impacts of the parameters of one economy on the optimal balanced path of the other economy will be analyzed following the proposition below
Proposition 4: In the steady state, we have and . What is more, we have and .
Proof. See Appendix B.
Proposition 4 shows that the growth rate of resource exploitation of one economy will rise with the increase of the elasticity of the marginal utility with respect to the carbon concentration of another economy and with the decrease of its own elasticity of the marginal utility under the condition of gQ > 0. If the people in one economy pay greater attention to carbon emission, the economy will lower its own resource input but increase the resource input of another economy simultaneously. It is similar to the real world, in that the public in some developed countries place a high value on carbon emission and force the government to reduce emissions but promote emissions imperceptibly of other countries. That is why the problem of carbon emission is one of the thorniest problems in the global governance.
Also, the efficiency of knowledge accumulation has a similar effect to the growth rate of resource exploitation. If the elasticity of the marginal utility with respect to the consumption of the two economies have θi > 1 and θj > 1, the increase of ξi will lower its own growth rate of resource exploitation and boost other economies' growth rate of resource exploitation. Further, we have the next corollary based on proposition 4.
Corollary 1: In the steady state, based on proposition 4, using Equation (26) and (27), we have ,,, and
Corollary 1 reflects that one economy's activities will exert influence on another economy through the changing fossil resource input and carbon emission. The increase of ω of one economy will have a positive influence on the economic growth of other economies when the balanced growth rate of carbon concentration is positive. If one economy has a higherθ, the increase of efficiency of knowledge accumulation will lower his own growth rate of resource exploitation and then promote the balanced growth rate of another economy.
The sign of first-order condition between and ωj depends on both the values of gQ and θi. If gQ and 1-θi have the same positive or negative sign, there is a positive relationship between and ωj. If the people in the two economies have the same preference degree (which means θi − 1 and θj − 1 have the same sign), the increase of efficiency of knowledge accumulation of one economy will lower the balanced growth rate of knowledge accumulation of another economy.
Conclusions
The unity of opposites between economic development and environmental protection is an important proposition of environmental economics. At the present stage, the division of labor in economic development is becoming more and more detailed. Global production has already made the production links not only concentrated in a few countries. The differences in economic development between countries also bring about huge differences in the intensity of environmental regulation among countries. As a result, the research on environmental regulation with industries and enterprises as the main body is no longer applicable to the actual production practice, and the global environmental problems cannot be effectively solved. A natural resource that causes carbon emission is introduced into an endogenous growth model with human capital and is addressed in this study. If the carbon concentration impacting the utility level of consumers is considered in the model, in the steady state, the growth rate differs in several ways from usual models combining growth with environmental questions; the growth rate of output and knowledge accumulation is always greater than zero. If the elasticity of the marginal utility of consumption is lower than 1, which means people are not concerned with having a smooth consumption profile over time, and the growth rate of carbon concentration will be positive. The growth rate of output (consumption) is greater than the growth rate of resource extraction (carbon concentration) all the time. Economic growth depends more on the human capital input and less on resource extraction when the disutility of carbon concentration is considered.
Furthermore, the reaction of the two economies was considered in the model, as this is closer to the real world. In the two-economy system model, the activities of both economies will produce carbon compounds and reduce the utility of consumers. The economic activities of one economy will bring remarkable adverse impacts to the activities of other economies on the balanced path. Facing the global public goods (carbon concentration), the multi-agent decision will often cause the tragedy of the commons. Both the implementer and sufferer will be punished (lower utility) by the environment. The increase of the elasticity of the marginal utility with respect to carbon concentration of every economy will lower the growth rate of the carbon concentration. On the contrary, if the people in one economy pay more attention to the carbon emission environmental problem, the economy will lower its own resource input but increase another economy's resource input simultaneously. It is similar to the real world that the public in some developed countries put a high value on the carbon emission and force the government to reduce emission but promote the emission of other countries imperceptibly, making carbon emission one of the most difficult challenges in global governance.
Therefore, the cross-border and cross-industry characteristics of carbon emission problems make it difficult for the existing environmental regulation policies with the single country, industry, or enterprise as the main body to achieve the desired effect. The global environmental pollution control needs the help of the cross-regional governance mechanism. We should establish a global environmental regulation policy, so as to realize the clean technology progress of the global value chain under the condition of heterogeneity of environmental regulation, reduce the transfer of pollution links, practice the development concept of “community of human destiny,” walk out of the extensive economic development mode of “pollution before governance,” and realize green sustainable development.
Data Availability Statement
The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/supplementary material, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author/s.
Author Contributions
PS: framework construction and model processing. KZ: text sorting. SL: model analysis and verification. All authors contributed to the article and approved the submitted version.
Funding
This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Project 71563008), High-level Talent Project of Hainan Provincial Natural Science Foundation (Project 720RC578), the Hainan Philosophy and Social Science Planning General Project [Project HNSK(YB)20-13], and the Hainan Natural Science Foundation High-level Talents Program in 2020.
Conflict of Interest
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
Supplementary Material
The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2021.652832/full#supplementary-material
Footnotes
1. ^Solving the balanced growth path see Appendix A.
2. ^An interior pathimplies that labor time must be spent in both the education sector and the final output. So the growth rate of human capital must be positive, but less than the highest possible value, which is ξ (for l1 = 0). We have 0 < gA < ξ.
3. ^Other conditions in section The Basic Model and Primary Results of One Economy have remained the same.
4. ^For a similar explanation of Equation (23) see (Vita, 2005).
5. ^Note that ωi only appears in the denominator of Equation (29).
6. ^Note that ξi only appear in the numerator of Equation (29).
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Keywords: endogenous growth, carbon emission, exhaustible resources, human capital, two-economic-system
Citation: Sun P, Li S and Zhou K (2021) Carbon Emission and Endogenous Growth Between Two Economic Systems. Front. Energy Res. 9:652832. doi: 10.3389/fenrg.2021.652832
Received: 13 January 2021; Accepted: 26 March 2021;
Published: 30 April 2021.
Edited by:
You-hua Chen, South China Agricultural University, ChinaReviewed by:
Minxing Jiang, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, ChinaChen Ziyue, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Norway
Copyright © 2021 Sun, Li and Zhou. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
*Correspondence: Peng Sun, bmV3c3AyMDA4JiN4MDAwNDA7MTI2LmNvbQ==