- 1School of Mathematics and Statistics, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
- 2National Supercomputing Center in Shenzhen, Shenzhen, China
In this paper, we propose a new class of set-valued coherent risk measures called the set-valued weighted value at risk. Firstly, the “regulator” version is independent of other market scenarios. The second version, which is called the market extension, is related to different market scenarios. The proofs of the properties of both versions are given, and equivalent representations are provided that enable us to compute the values of both versions of set-valued weighted value at risk. Finally, we offer examples to illustrate various features of the theoretical constructions of the set-valued weighted value at risk.
Mathematics Subject Classification (2010): 91B30 91B32 91B70.
1. Introduction
Weighted value at risk for one-dimension random variables may be one of the most popular coherent risk measures (see [1]). Artzner et al. [2] initially introduced the first coherent risk measure by proposing four axioms. Cherny [1] showed that weighted value at risk possesses some desirable properties that are not shared by Expected Shortfall. For further details on Expected Shortfall, we refer the reader to Föllmer and Schied [3]. Weighted value at risk first appeared in Kusuoka [4]. Acerbi [5, 6] called it the spectral risk measure.
Jouini et al. [7] demonstrated that a set of set-valued risk measures are suitable for evaluating multivariate risks in market models with transaction costs/bid-ask spreads. Additional set-valued risk measures have since been introduced and studied (see [8–13], and the references therein).
Hamel et al. [11] introduced set-valued average value at risk, and reasons for using set-valued functions as risk measures have been further addressed from both financial and mathematical perspectives (see [14–17]), and the reference there in).
In this paper, we will extend the traditional weighted value at risk to a set-valued version for multivariate random variables. Therefore, we demonstrate their core properties and provide an alternative representation for computing their values. The first version is called “regulator weighted value at risk” since it does not take trading opportunities into account. The second version is called “the market extension” since it relates to a specific market scenario. These two versions are set-valued coherent risk measures. Then, we derive a benchmark when introducing set-valued weighted value at risk that can reflect the risk tolerance of the trader/regulator; see Remark 2.2 below. Finally, we offer examples to illustrate various features of the theoretical constructions of the set-valued weighted value at risk.
The remainder of this article is organized as follows. Section 2 introduces a primal and an equivalent representation of set-valued weighted value at risk, including the “regulator” and “the market extension” cases. The essential properties of both cases are then proven. In section 3, examples are given to illustrate the theoretical construction of the set-valued weighted value at risk.
2. Set-Valued Weighted Value at Risk
2.1. The Regulator Case
Let (Ω, , P) be a probability space and d ≥ 1 be a positive integer. A multivariate random variable is an -measurable function X : Ω → Rd for d ≥ 2. Here, d = 1 represents a one-dimension random variate. Denote by the linear space of the equivalence classes (with respect to the probability P) of Rd-valued random variables. An element has components X1, ⋯ , Xd in . Denote by the set of Rd-valued random variables with P almost surely non-negative components and by the linear space of all with . We also define for , the transpose of row vector (EX1, ⋯ , EXd). Define . If d = 1, we write and for and , respectively. For α ∈ Rd, the symbol diag(α) denotes the d × d matrix with the components of the vector α as entries on its main diagonal and zero entries elsewhere. x+ stands for max(x, 0) for x ∈ R [see [18–21]] and the reference therein).
The next definition offers an essential representation for set-valued weighted value at risk, which is an extension of the scalar case given by Cherny [1] to the set-valued case. It involves a linear subspace M ⊆ Rd, called the space of eligible assets, which we adopt from Hamel et al. [11]. We will also employ a benchmark level, which is one of the novelties of this article; see Remark 2.2 below. A natural choice for M is M = Rm × {0}d−m, 1 ≤ m ≤ d, i.e., the first m of d assets are eligible as deposits (see [7, 11, 22]). We denote , where stands for the class of elements in Rd with non-negative components. We assume that M+ is non-trivial, i.e., M+ ≠ {0}.
Generally speaking, a scalar multivariate risk measure is any mapping from to R. A set-valued risk measure is any mapping ρ from to a class of subsets of Rd. ρ(X) is interpreted as a set of acceptable margins of portfolio X (see [23–27]) and the reference therein).
Definition 2.1 Let θ ∈ (0, 1) and μ: = (μ1, ⋯ , μd) be a probability on [θ, 1]d. For , the set-valued weighted value at risk at X with respect to μ is defined as
where for and .
Remark 2.1 If μ is a Dirac measure at some α ∈ (0, 1]d, that is, μ({α}) = 1, then Definition 2.1 reverts to the definition of the set-valued regulator average value at risk of Hamel et al. [11] (Definition 2.1) because the benchmark level θ can be small enough. Moreover, in Example 3.2 below, we show that the WVaRμ is better suited to the change in the market than the regulator average value at risk of Hamel et al. [11].
Remark 2.2 The financial interpretation of the benchmark level θ is as follows. Initially, it stems from the confidence level 1 − α of value at risk. Given a confidence level 1 − α ∈ (0, 1), the value at risk at X ∈ L0 is defined as VaR1−α(X): = inf{t ∈ R; P(X > t) ≤ α}. From a practical perspective, in reality, the parameter 1 − α can be very close to but cannot be 1. Thus, α can be very close to but cannot be zero, which motivates the introduction of the benchmark level θ, which reflects the risk tolerance of the investor/regulator in terms of probability. See Basel Committee [28–31] for the reasonability of the benchmark level. Therefore, the benchmark level θ can be very close to zero but cannot be exactly zero. Examples 3.1 and 3.2 below take this perspective into account.
Remark 2.3 In definition 2.1, the intersection with M has the following interpretation. To cancel the risk of portfolio X, we would like to obtain a set of all margins when measuring the risk of portfolio X. Intersecting with the set M, WVaRμ(X) shows both the valid margins and the aggregated margins, which aggregates the valid margins from the d-dimension to the m-dimension. The other (d−m)-dimension of WVaRμ(X) should be zero. Aggregating the margin has plenty of financial explanations. For example, each element of the vector represents the amounts in a specific currency. Suppose that m different currencies should be taken into consideration. For the regulator, there is no need to ask for a d-dimensional margin. They could aggregate d elements of the margin into m elements that represent m different currencies. When considering the margin needed by a company with different departments, this idea is also reasonable. The decision-maker of a company may simply want to figure out the sum of the margins of different departments. More details can be found in Jouini et al. [7].
The next proposition provides another equivalent representation of WVaRμ under the condition M = Rm × {0}d−m, which is easier to compute than (2.1).
Proposition 2.1 Let . The set-valued weighted value at risk takes the following equivalent representation:
for .
Proof Considering a component of the portfolio, we know that the two conditions and are equivalent to for 1 ≤ i ≤ d. Therefore, is equal to . After intersecting with the set M, we have that
Proposition 2.1 is proved.
The next proposition will show that when M = Rm × {0}d−m, the set-valued weighted value at risk is exactly a set-valued coherent risk measure in the sense of Jouini et al. [7].
Proposition 2.2 Let M = Rm × {0}d−m. Then, the function X → WVaRμ(X) meets the listed properties:
(a) Positive homogeneity: for any and any s > 0, WVaRμ(sX) = sWVaRμ(X).
(b) Subadditivity: for any , .
(c) M-translation invariance: for any and any u ∈ Rm, WVaRμ(X + ū) = WVaRμ(X) − ū, where ū = u × {0}d−m.
(d) Monotonicity with respect to : for any with X2 ≥ X1, which means that , we have .
(e) It satisfies that WVaRμ(X) + M+ = WVaRμ(X) for . Particularly, WVaRμ(0) is a convex cone.
Proof (a) For and s > 0,
(b) For ,
(c) For ,
(d) Given with , we have for each zi ∈ R, 1 ≤ i ≤ d. Hence,
Therefore,
Consequently,
which implies that .
(e) It is not difficult to verify that WVaRμ(X) + M+ = WVaRμ(X) and that WVaRμ(0) is a convex cone.
2.2. The Market Extension
The weighted value at risk from Definition 2.1 does not take into account the investment preferences of investors. Therefore, we define its market extension by replacing with a general closed convex cone K containing (see [7] or [8] for further motivation).
Definition 2.2 Let be a closed convex cone that contains and K be a closed convex cone that contains . The extended version of the set-valued weighted value at risk is defined as
In the proof of Proposition 2.1, through the same argument, we present the following proposition, which provides another equivalent representation of .
Proposition 2.3 Let M = Rm × {0}d−m. has the following equivalent representation:
where C is a closed convex cone that contains .
The next proposition will show that when is exactly a set-valued coherent risk measure in the sense of Jouini et al. [7].
Proposition 2.4 Let M = Rm × {0}d−m. Then, the function satisfies the following properties:
(a) Positive Homogeneity: for each and each s > 0, .
(b) Subadditivity: for each , .
(c) M-translation invariance: for each and each u ∈ Rm, , where ū = u × {0}d−m.
(d) Monotonicity with respect to K: for any X1, X2 ∈ K and , which means that X2 − X1 ∈ K, we have .
(e) For each , the set is convex and satisfies that , where CM: = C ⋂ M and C is as in Proposition 2.3. In particular, is a convex cone that satisfies and .
Proof: (a) For and s > 0, we have
(b) For ,
(c) It is straightforward.
(d) is K-monotone because for Y ∈ K, we have Y + K ⊆ K, and therefore,
(e) It is straightforward. Proposition 2.4 is proved.
3. Examples
In this part, we give two examples of computing WVaRμ. In the rest of the paper, we will consider a finite financial market, that is, we assume that (Ω, , P) is a finite probability space. Namely, let |Ω| = N, = 2Ω, P = (p1, p2, …, pN) with and P({ωn}) = pn, n = 1, 2, …, N. Here, N is a strictly positive number, and the probability measure P is given by N.
The first example is motivated by Hamel et al. [11] (Example 3.1).
Example 3.1 Suppose that the elements of a portfolio are d = 2 and M = R2 (hence all the initial portfolios are eligible). In a binary model with N = 2 and P = (0.4, 0.6), the potential income is given by
We set the benchmark level θ = 0.01 and let μ1 = μ2: = ν. If ν is set to be uniformly distributed on [θ, 1], that is, for Borel measurable set A ⊂ [θ, 1],
where for θ ≤ x ≤ 1. By a simple calculation, we have that
If we let ν be a (discrete) probability law with ν({0.01}) = ν({0.02}) = 0.5, then calculation shows that
again. For the first and second assets, the margins that the manager/regulator needs for compensating the risk are at least 4 units and −20 units, respectively.
In the above example, the value of WVaRμ(X) is equal to that of , the set-valued regulator average value at risk (see [11], Definition 2.1 and Example 3.1), where α = (0.01, 0.02)T. The next example will show that the values of WVaRμ(X) and are not necessarily the same and that WVaRμ(X) is better suited to a market featuring extreme events than is .
Example 3.2 Let all the input parameters and the potential incomes of X be as in Example 3.1 except for the probability law P and the probability measure μ. Here, we set P = (0.99, 0.01). If ν is set to be uniformly distributed on [θ, 1], then
If ν is again a (discrete) probability law with ν({0.01}) = ν({0.02}) = 0.5, then,
In contrast to the above example, the probability measure μ concerning the confidence levels does affect the risk measure because the minimal margin to cancel the risk for a manager/regulator covers the worst case only for the second asset, which is −20 units.
On the other hand,
where α = (0.01, 0.02)T, which is the same as in Example 3.1.
From the above two examples, we observe that when all the input parameters remain the same except for the change in the (binary) probability law P from (0.4, 0.6) to (0.99, 0.01), the minimal risk-compensating portfolio of WVaRμ(X) changes from (−4, 20) to (−11.628, 20) and (−6, 20), respectively, whereas the minimal risk-compensating portfolio of remains unchanged, which is (−4, 20). Thus, we conclude that WVaRμ(X) can reflect the change in the market, that is, the change in the (binary) probability P, whereas cannot. In the case of P = (0.99, 0.01), the event with probability 0.01 could be regarded as an extreme event compared with the other event with probability 0.99. Therefore, we conclude that WVaRμ is better suited to a market featuring extreme events than is .
4. Conclusions
In this paper, we proposed two new classes of set-valued coherent risk measures: the “regulator” version and “market” version. Their essential properties are discussed, and equivalent representations are given. Moreover, the coherency of the set-valued weighted value at risk is characterized. These newly introduced set-valued risk measures complement the study of set-valued risk measures. Examples are also presented that show that set-valued weighted value at risk is better suited to a market featuring extreme events than is .
Data Availability Statement
The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/supplementary materials, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author/s.
Author Contributions
YD, YH, and YF: conceptualization, formal analysis, writing-original draft preparation, writing-review and editing, and funding acquisition. All authors contributed to the article and approved the submitted version.
Funding
This work was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (Grant No. 2018YFB0204403) and Shenzhen Grade E Scientific and Engineering Calculation Key Laboratory under Grant No. ZDSYS201703031711426. It was also supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 1137 1284).
Conflict of Interest
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
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Keywords: set-valued coherent risk measure, set-valued average value at risk, set-valued weighted value at risk, representation, market extension
Citation: Dong Y, Hu Y and Feng Y (2020) Set-Valued Weighted Value at Risk and Its Computation. Front. Phys. 8:190. doi: 10.3389/fphy.2020.00190
Received: 29 March 2020; Accepted: 30 April 2020;
Published: 19 June 2020.
Edited by:
Muhammad Javaid, University of Management and Technology, Lahore, PakistanReviewed by:
Su Guicong, Jagiellonian University, PolandChunyan Li, Chongqing University of Science and Technology, China
Liu Xi Xian, University of International Business and Economics, China
Copyright © 2020 Dong, Hu and Feng. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
*Correspondence: Yu Feng, fengyuffyy@whu.edu.cn